Who has experience with interpreting SEO Competition? (Market Samurai pic attached)

[enigma2k]

I have found a keyword with Market Samurai that has 6,500 searches per day and running it through the SEO Competition I get the results as you can see in the picture.
But what I am wondering now is how big or small my chances are to rank #1 if my site is only some months old.

-The site on #1 has all 8 backlinks with a PR0. the keyword appears only in 2 of them.

-The site on #2 has 9 PR0, 2 PR4, 2 PR5 and 1 PR8. none with the keyword in the anchortext

-The site on #3 has 580 PR0, 10 PR1, 250 PR2, 60 PR3, 50 PR4 and 50 PR5. Only 21 PR2 sites have the keyword in the anchortext.

Is there a chance to get in the top3 if you site is just 3 months old and how much effort would it be?

[terryd]

To me that looks like a tough nut to crack as there is a fair bit of competition there. I'm not sure what domains are there but just from looking at them I would probably give them a miss. I like to see lots of green and yellow and hardly any red when I do searches.

[Michael Nguyen]

I reckon you should use MNF
so easy, you get a simple

YES , NO, Maybe

[lonniewa2]

If I was planning on developing a content/authority website I might consider going after this niche but the competition here is very strong so most likely I would pass.

If you are doing sniper/NMOC longtail type websites do not even bother.

[kflanagan28]

That screen shot looks a little odd. The first site is not even a year old and is ranking above the site in 3rd which has a better domain age, authority listing (if we got by back links to the domain) and also has more back links to the main page.

This is the problem really. That screen shot only tells a small part of the story. The top spots looks as if they are held by sites with a lot of links to their domain but not too many to the internal page ranking for that keyword. Am I right ? Are the top spots held by internal pages for sites ?

Really you need to know how to look at the sites in the top spots and know if you can outrank that page. Although I have recently seen a lot of branded sites rank internal pages for competitive keywords in one of my clients markets (ultra competitive). The internal pages have no mention of the keyword and no back links to the page. It would seem they rank purely based on the sites trust in Google for that market ...

[CaseWhitney]

Originally Posted by enigma2k

Is there a chance to get in the top3 if you site is just 3 months old and how much effort would it be?

pass on this one.

If your site is only 3months old you'll have to get in the same range of 58k backlinks to the domain in under a year to be comparable to position one and it has an keyword domain.
While it looks like just to that page is a manageable effort, seeing how many backlinks the domains have, it would be a hard word to break into page one. unless you have some very heavy backlinking strategies I would stay away from this.

Plus it looks like an informational keyword with such a high amount of edu/gov backlinks to the older sites in the lower ranks of page one.

There's gotta be a related keyword with more green on the left side of the chart.