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Old 10-21-2010, 09:34 PM   #1
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Default Google, why do you lie to me?

This post is twofold. A request for help, and a rant.

I am doing some keyword research for one of my sites using the Adword Data, Google Trends and Insights.

A bit of background. I have done very little SEO work for this site, maybe have 30-50 links with anchor text. No articles, nothing else. Surprisingly, I rank #1 for this search term in Google.ca. I have checked through different IP's and proxies. All confirm #1.

I am using theGoogle Adwords keyword tool, and I did an exact 'phrase' match with the 2 keywords. I look at local monthly search volume, and select my region. The Globlal search volume is 40,500, Local 1000. The competition for this term is mid to high (yeah, right). So, if I am #1, why did I get 3 clicks for my search term?

So, that leads me to believe, that the local monthly search volume numbers are nowhere near accurate. The competition graph can't be accurate, if I have done that little SEO work and achieved that ranking (unless that is global competition data it shows). The Local Search trend graph is level, not decreasing or increasing. OR, my site just sucks! Regardless, being #1 with that kind of search volume should lead to more clicks then 3, even by accident.

So, the other inaccurate data is regarding a recent press release for a client. I look at the stats, doing an exact phrase match, Google claims there were 15,700 results from a press release, just over 2 weeks ago. I thought, wow, great pick up on that one. So I randomly check a few links, click the last page in the SERP, and get Page 9, #83 of 83? Huh? You just said 15,700. Where are the other 15,600? (I know if there were that many, I wouild be cut off at 900 something results). So, I go back to the first page results, and hit refresh. All of a sudden, 15,700 results bcomes 30,500 results (this is google.com) Um, why did the results double?

So, I have to question if any of the information I get from the Google 'tools' as being accurate or not. I am leaning towards a big no. So what to trust for doing a keyword analysis, as I don't like to invest my time on incorrect information.

I would like to think that the data regarding click throughs on an AdWord campaign after the campaign has run, is somewhat accurate. If so, should I be getting keyword popularity from that based on impressions and clickthroughs?

Any help or observations would be appreciated.

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Old 10-22-2010, 01:23 AM   #2
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Default Re: Google, why do you lie to me?

That is why it is necessary to check keywords in both google and overture to get accurate data but still then you would have to use your own brain to think what words are most searched.

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Old 10-22-2010, 01:37 AM   #3
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Default Re: Google, why do you lie to me?

I hate to ask the obvious, but you do realise that the "competition" they're showing is for PPC...

I always use SEMRush to confirm figures and see what the realistic traffic could be (based on what the current top position holders are receiving. Maybe you could cross reference with that as well?

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Old 10-22-2010, 06:07 AM   #4
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Default Re: Google, why do you lie to me?

Google doesn't tell a lie to any one, only hide stats about your site.
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Old 10-22-2010, 06:54 AM   #5
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Default Re: Google, why do you lie to me?

SEM Rush will tell you

How much traffic the keyword receives.

How much of a share the site with the number one position for this keyword in Google receives(rule of thumb is around 10-15% of the total searches).

Basically this is all I need to know. I can then use Travis(free) to assess the competition for the top ten positions i.e On page optimization and number of backlinks.
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Old 10-22-2010, 08:01 AM   #6
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Default Re: Google, why do you lie to me?

Cutts just came out with a video about Analytics vs. Webmaster tool discrepancies.. same ol' song and dance. "Different locations, different databases, different data centers"

The truth is you should be comparing up against your server logs. Impressions don't always tell you much, as there are a lot of automated hanky-panky going on in the SERPs, and three seconds isn't that long.

I'd like to see the "press release results" you are talking about. Is it just showing you similar pages or how did it jump up to 30k+?


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Old 10-22-2010, 08:55 AM   #7
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Default Re: Google, why do you lie to me?

The keyword tool of Google provides a lot of wrong and inexactly data. However, you check the "exact match" for this keyphrase / keyword ?

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Old 10-22-2010, 09:06 AM   #8
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Default Re: Google, why do you lie to me?

I've always think first for the possible answers then I'll go on tools this means that you must have your own construct ideas, Don't always rely on google tools.
Google is not lying its only not publishing your all whereabouts in site.
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