Actual Traffic Compared to Traffic Estimates from Keyword Tools

[jkovats]

This is more so a question to those that occupy the #1 spot for your chosen keyword(s).
After deciding on your keyword(s) through the various keyword research methods, have you found that your actual traffic for your chosen keyword(s) is less than, similar to, or greater than what was suggested in your keyword research tool?

I know of a few tools, ie Google Adwords keyword tool, Market Samurai, wordtracker, and I am sure there are others. Which tool have you found to be the most accurate in keyword research?

I would really like to only hear from those occupying a #1 spot. Stating your keyword is irrelevant. Just something as simple as suggested traffic, 1000, actual traffic, 500.

Thanks.

[almondj]

I've got a #1 position with 110,000 searches according to Google. Getting about 85 - 90k of that. So roughly 80 - 90%.