Can you help me do this math?

[Keep Trying]

Hey warriors, it's Monday, about 11 PM Pacific Time right now and before I go to sleep, I want you guys to solve a riddle so we can all learn something from this.

Yesterday (Sunday, June 19th) my website was ranked on Google for a keyword phrase with 1,000 local searches (720 being [exact]) for about 850,000,000 search results. Here is the following data:

• 1st page
• #8 result
• total visitors = 6 unique visitors

According to Optify (What Percentage of Clicks does the Top Position in Google Get | PrometMarketing.com), here is the latest data for percentages of clicks that top positions in Google get:

#1: 36.5%
#2: 12.5%
#3: 9.5%
#4: 7.9%
#5: 6.1%
#6: 4.1%
#7: 3.8%
#8: 3.5%
#9: 3.0%
#10: 2.2%

After doing SEO for about two weeks, I looked at my website ranking right before midnight (yesterday), and it rose in ranking. For almost whole day, it was 1st page, #3, but now, before I going to sleep, I checked it again and it rose again. My website is currently positioned at:

• 1st page
• #2 result

I want to guess how many visitors I will have tomorrow, however, I will not know this until tomorrow probably around noon (I will post the answer). In order to find this out, I used an algebraic formula that my high school math teacher taught me. Would this math be correct?

3.5 12.5
---- = ----
6 X

So, X = 21.4 or 21 visitors

My prediction is that tomorrow I will log in to my Google Analytics account, and see 21 visitors.

Before I snooze off, I want to ask you two questions and I hope you can answer them:

A) Does my math formula correlate to how many visitors I can expect to see tomorrow?
B) How many visitors (provide a whole number please) can you predict I will have tomorrow?

Have fun with this -- the 1st prize winner will win a digital cookie.

[addyj672]

Very difficult question. You were ranking on 8 position then

3.5 = 6

1.2 = 3
Similarly as your ranking increase then surly both things will increase

12.5 X 3 = 37.5

So i am getting idea you will get 30 to 35 visitors......

[webapex]

So like in some tricky school exams the KW search stats were there as a distraction?

Your method adds up (I got the same 21.4) and is probably most useful for someone marketing SEO services, I have to guess it more accurate than assuming tat all search volume is absorbed by those top to results, whereas:

720/30 X 12.5% = 3

Did you check your logs to see if those 6 uniques are from Google?

I trust your not just relying on your computer's search result, personalized search, particularly if your logged into google can skew results in your favor (something an SEO employ can put to use by pumping up the frequency on his boss's computer)

[mithil]

Not gonna go into the statistics, but wishing you good luck for your ranking results.

[Keep Trying]

The answer was 16. Congratulations webapex.

*Keep Trying hands Digital Cookie over to Webapex*