Climate Change: Paris 'Last Chance' For Action'

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According to this, it's make or break

Climate change: Paris 'last chance' for action - BBC News
  • Profile picture of the author TLTheLiberator
    I wonder what will happen...
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  • Profile picture of the author MikeAmbrosio
    Well, I anticipate another 4 - 7 page thread with all the same people making all the same arguments and calling each other all the same names...

    Where's the popcorn?
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  • Profile picture of the author HeySal
    Warming phobics -- F***ing WAHHHHHHHH -

    If you're so damned worried about warming why aren't you protesting your damned cell phones, WiFi, and Ipads. What exactly do you think that living in a microwave grid is going to do? Go reforest some land that's in danger of desertification. Jesus, I'm sick of this subject. People are cows.
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    • Profile picture of the author MikeAmbrosio
      Originally Posted by HeySal View Post

      Warming phobics -- F***ing WAHHHHHHHH -

      If you're so damned worried about warming why aren't you protesting your damned cell phones, WiFi, and Ipads. What exactly do you think that living in a microwave grid is going to do? Go reforest some land that's in danger of desertification. Jesus, I'm sick of this subject. People are cows.
      I thought it was sheep...
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    • Profile picture of the author Cam Connor
      Originally Posted by HeySal View Post

      Warming phobics -- F***ing WAHHHHHHHH -

      If you're so damned worried about warming why aren't you protesting your damned cell phones, WiFi, and Ipads.
      Because that's what they're using to protest...

      The irony.
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  • Profile picture of the author seasoned
    OK, this is so much GARBAGE! I KNOW recycling is supposed to be good, but spouting garbage as garbage is NOT recycling! IT'S CALLED ****POLLUTION**** FOLKS!

    OK, they said "Scientists are calling on world leaders to sign up to an eight-point plan of action at landmark talks in Paris".

    Here is MY plan! It costs NOTHING! It actually MAKES money! It requires you to do LESS! You will have MORE time! It is MORE convienient, etc.....

    HERE'S a secret! We are NOT in the 1500s anymore! If you want to pretend that we are in the 1500s, please be SINCERE! TAKE A WIND powered ship to paris or whatever, and ride BICYCLES! I'm all for that! You will ALSO get things done FASTER!

    OK, here is a quick way to reduce carbon emissions by TONS in the months around the trip!

    1. DON'T GO! IMAGINE, we will LITERALLY burn HUNDREDSof gallons less fuel each HOUR of the trip! The whitehouse Escalon ALONE burns about 280000 GALLONS an hour, and it is about 13 hours EACH WAY!
    2. USE CURRENT TECHNOLOGY! We are burning most of the power ANYWAY! Why not USE IT!?

    IMAGINE! Less paper, fuel, time, water, food, NOW, as to their supposed goals?

    ◾Limiting global warming to below 2 degrees Celsius
    DREAM ON! societies have been trying to change this for MILLENIA!

    ◾Keeping future CO2 emissions below 1,000 gigatonnes (billion tonnes)
    So china, india, and the politicians can pollute more? NO THANKS!

    ◾Creating a zero-carbon society by 2050
    SEE ABOVE! Ironically, if the government didn't create so much inflation, etc... I would have had everything solar by the 1980s!

    ◾Equity of approach - with richer countries helping poorer ones
    The poorer ones don't WANT your help!

    ◾Technological research and innovation
    OK, when will they even START!?!?!?!?

    ◾A global strategy to address loss and damage from climate change
    HERE'S A HINT! STOP EXPANDING! PLANT TREES!

    ◾Safeguarding ecosystems such as forests and oceans that absorb CO2
    DO IT!

    ◾Providing climate finance for developing countries.
    AGAIN! THEY DON'T WANT YOUR HELP!

    Steve
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    • Profile picture of the author Kay King
      I'm not going to post the same arguments again. I watched a documentary recently where the scientist (who initially had not bought into global warming but changed his mind after looking at later research) drew a conclusion that was chilling but somehow felt "true" to me.

      He thinks we passed the tipping point some time ago. He said the focus is on profiting from global warming and on several govts trying to be "in control" of reaction to GW...will not end and only get worse.

      He said his conclusion now is the best we can do is try to limit the damage and postpone the inevitable. A point he made was so true - our society wants to 'cure' global warming as long as it doesn't have to sacrifice creature comforts or convenience.
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      • Profile picture of the author seasoned
        Originally Posted by Kay King View Post

        I'm not going to post the same arguments again. I watched a documentary recently where the scientist (who initially had not bought into global warming but changed his mind after looking at later research) drew a conclusion that was chilling but somehow felt "true" to me.

        He thinks we passed the tipping point some time ago. He said the focus is on profiting from global warming and on several govts trying to be "in control" of reaction to GW...will not end and only get worse.

        He said his conclusion now is the best we can do is try to limit the damage and postpone the inevitable. A point he made was so true - our society wants to 'cure' global warming as long as it doesn't have to sacrifice creature comforts or convenience.
        Well, we certainly ARE past a tipping point. The WEATHER is not really the problem they make it out to be. But they have been talking about REAL problems since at least the 1970s, and have given them short shrift. And china and india are AT LEAST as bad as the US, and in many ways WORSE!

        As for what the government plans to do? NONE of that is for the weather or to save the earth. Look at al gores home! Look at his BOOKS! Look at what he is doing now! Look at these summits, the UN, and all of obamas trips! HOW can ANYONE look at that and think they want to help!?!?!?!? THEY are EACH worse than perhaps everyone that ever logged into this forum PUT TOGETHER!!!!!!! Some generate more waste in a DAY than some here do in YEARS! The governments LOVE the free trips, being treated as kings, being famous, and all the MONEY they have roll in!

        Steve
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        • Profile picture of the author Kurt
          Originally Posted by seasoned View Post

          Well, we certainly ARE past a tipping point. The WEATHER is not really the problem they make it out to be.
          You are correct, the weather isn't the problem. It's the CLIMATE. You really should learn the difference between "weather" and "climate". Is the water problem in the Western US weather or climate? Are you willing to risk it's just "weather"?
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          • Profile picture of the author seasoned
            Originally Posted by Kurt View Post

            You are correct, the weather isn't the problem. It's the CLIMATE. You really should learn the difference between "weather" and "climate". Is the water problem in the Western US weather or climate? Are you willing to risk it's just "weather"?
            CLIMATE, WHATEVER! STILL not the problem!

            Steve
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      • Profile picture of the author Claude Whitacre
        Originally Posted by Kay King View Post

        I'm not going to post the same arguments again. I watched a documentary recently where the scientist (who initially had not bought into global warming but changed his mind after looking at later research) drew a conclusion that was chilling but somehow felt "true" to me.

        He thinks we passed the tipping point some time ago. He said the focus is on profiting from global warming and on several govts trying to be "in control" of reaction to GW...will not end and only get worse.

        He said his conclusion now is the best we can do is try to limit the damage and postpone the inevitable. A point he made was so true - our society wants to 'cure' global warming as long as it doesn't have to sacrifice creature comforts or convenience.
        I saw Vice Special Report: Our Rising Oceans. It was devastatingly conclusive.

        Yup. Now the question is, how do we adapt?
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        • Profile picture of the author Kurt
          Originally Posted by Claude Whitacre View Post

          I saw Vice Special Report: Our Rising Oceans. It was devastatingly conclusive.

          Yup. Now the question is, how do we adapt?
          Yup, we'll adapt because humans are incapable of change until it's the only option. As Bill Mahr joked, we'll just learn a bunch of different recipes for cooking rats and jellyfish, since they'll be the only things left for us to eat.
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        • Profile picture of the author BigFrank
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          Originally Posted by Claude Whitacre View Post

          Yup. Now the question is, how do we adapt?
          One word: Gillectomy.

          Cheers. - Frank
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  • Profile picture of the author TLTheLiberator
    I want to personally thank the elected deniers here in the good ole U.S.A. and all their enablers.


    Thanks a million!
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  • Profile picture of the author agmccall
    The climate is changing, it always will change, it has been changing since the beginning of time. But, like the song says. "The more things change the more they stay the same."

    Changing climate was not caused by us and no matter how many taxes are levied on us, (and if you pay attention to all the solutions, heavy taxes, fines, and penalties all seem to be the main part of the solution) will not change anything.

    It is still cold in the winter, warm in spring, hot in summer, and pleasantly cool in the fall.

    So for all you do gooders who want to save us from ourselves, remember this. You are not GOD, and you are not more powerful than the earth, sun, and nature. It will take care of itself.

    We were going into an iceage in the 70's then in the 80's the oceans were dying, early 2000's it was global warming. Then the geniuses realized that it really wasn't warming so the name has to be change to "Climate Change". The oceans are fine, we never had that ice age, the polar caps never melted, the oceans are "NOT" rising. All the experts are continually wrong, but yet there are so many that seem to want to slobber at their feet, it really makes me sick.

    The world is fine, we are fine, those who do not believe this are the "Deniers"

    al
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    • Profile picture of the author BigFrank
      Banned
      Originally Posted by agmccall View Post

      It will take care of itself.
      Famous last words.

      Cheers. - Frank
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    • Profile picture of the author whateverpedia
      Originally Posted by agmccall View Post

      It will take care of itself.
      Of course it will by eliminating the parasitic life form that is doing its damnedest to destroy it.
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    • Profile picture of the author whateverpedia
      Originally Posted by agmccall View Post

      <the usual denialist crap snipped>
      Where did you get your degree in Climatology. You must have one as you speak as if you're an authority on the subject.

      That would make you one of the 3% of Climate Scientists who don't believe. I guess that like the rext of your 3% buddies, you are also on the payroll of the fossil fuel companies, so tell us which one it is. Oil? Coal?

      Or are you one of the "experts" who gets their science from FauxNews?
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      • Profile picture of the author Claude Whitacre
        Originally Posted by whateverpedia View Post

        Where did you get your degree in Climatology. You must have one as you speak as if you're an authority on the subject.

        That would make you one of the 3% of Climate Scientists who don't believe. I guess that like the rext of your 3% buddies, you are also on the payroll of the fossil fuel companies, so tell us which one it is. Oil? Coal?

        Or are you one of the "experts" who gets their science from FauxNews?
        That 3% quote is old. It was in 2008, and the 97% of active climatologists is 75 out of the 77 in the survey. The last survey ( World Survey of Climatology) done with the over 8,000 climatologists, only had 2 say that they didn't think global warming was real, and caused by us. My guess is that it was the same 2 climatologists as in 2008. But that's only a guess.

        Heck, you can't even get that many experts to agree that, "Cancer is bad".
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      • Profile picture of the author agmccall
        Originally Posted by whateverpedia View Post

        Where did you get your degree in Climatology. You must have one as you speak as if you're an authority on the subject.
        I got mine the same place you got yours and the same place the rest of the people posting here got theirs.

        here is an article you might want to read, but most koolaid drinkers stay very far away from opposing opinions because it might make them think.

        Joseph Bast and Roy Spencer: The Myth of the Climate Change '97%' - WSJ

        al
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        • Profile picture of the author BigFrank
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          Originally Posted by agmccall View Post

          here is an article you might want to read, but most koolaid drinkers stay very far away from The Wall Street Journal because it might make their head explode from reading right wing clap-trap.
          There ya' go. Fixed that for you. No charge.

          Cheers. - Frank
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          • Profile picture of the author agmccall
            Originally Posted by BigFrank View Post

            There ya' go. Fixed that for you. No charge.

            Cheers. - Frank
            Why such fear and hatred of an opposing opinion?
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            • Profile picture of the author BigFrank
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              Originally Posted by agmccall View Post

              Why such fear and hatred of an opposing opinion?
              Why would you use those words to describe my rejection of an opposing and incorrect position?

              I fear nothing or no one and my hatred is limited to those that are truly deserving.

              Project, much. :-)

              Cheers. - Frank
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        • Profile picture of the author Claude Whitacre
          Originally Posted by agmccall View Post

          I got mine the same place you got yours and the same place the rest of the people posting here got theirs.

          here is an article you might want to read, but most koolaid drinkers stay very far away from opposing opinions because it might make them think.

          Joseph Bast and Roy Spencer: The Myth of the Climate Change '97%' - WSJ

          al
          Opposing opinions? You have a point. But opposing facts is another thing.

          If 99.9999% of all climatologists agree that global warming is real, it may be just opinion. It would be an astronomically high probability that they know something we don't.... but it's just opinion. Like your opinion, my opinion.

          But measurements aren't opinions. They're facts. And all measurements in ice thickness at Antarctica, ocean levels, temperature, (globally), and CO2 levels, are unanimous and incontrovertible.

          You will die, never changing your mind, I know this. But you are wrong. You are treating this like a political issue, not a scientific study. And again, I'm wasting my time.

          I wonder what that means? Why do I keep making efforts to correct flaws in thinking...in other people..knowing it won't make a difference? Interesting.

          You somehow believe that sticking to your belief, no matter how much evidence there is to the contrary...is thinking. But you are running out of "Op Ed" pieces.....and posts on political blogs.

          Rage, Rage against the dying of the light. (Sorry, I just love that line)
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          • Profile picture of the author Kurt
            Originally Posted by Claude Whitacre View Post

            Opposing opinions? You have a point. But opposing facts is another thing.

            If 99.9999% of all climatologists agree that global warming is real, it may be just opinion. It would be an astronomically high probability that they know something we don't.... but it's just opinion. Like your opinion, my opinion.

            But measurements aren't opinions. They're facts. And all measurements in ice thickness at Antarctica, ocean levels, temperature, (globally), and CO2 levels, are unanimous and incontrovertible.

            You will die, never changing your mind, I know this. But you are wrong. You are treating this like a political issue, not a scientific study. And again, I'm wasting my time.

            I wonder what that means? Why do I keep making efforts correct flaws in thinking...in other people..knowing it won't make a difference? Interesting.

            You somehow believe that sticking to your belief, no matter how much evidence there is to the contrary...is thinking. But you are running out of "Op Ed" pieces.....and posts on political blogs.

            Rage, Rage against the dying of the light.
            It also shows how some people really struggle with "risk vs gain". If the Warmers are correct, it will greatly impact the standard of living all over the World, at the very least.


            If the Deniers are correct, we'll all pay a few dollars a month more.


            But, there's also a case the even if warming is a hoax that the poison carbon fuels pump into the air can justify a carbon tax even if warming didn't exist. There's no denying the health impact oil and coal has on us. It poisons our air, our water and our bodies.


            Why the deniers want to breath polluted water and drink tainted water is a mystery to me.


            We don't even need to debate Global Warming to justify a carbon tax. The health concerns from carbon fuels is more than enough. It amazes me how entitled some people feel that they should be allowed to poison my air and water and not have to pay for it. So much for their chants of "personal responsibility".


            You know what? If you don't want to pay carbon taxes, don't pollute. You have that choice.
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            • Profile picture of the author Kurt
              Originally Posted by agmccall View Post

              Duke Study Finds 'Natural Variability' Impacts Global Warming

              Global warming progressing at moderate rate, empirical data suggest

              Please tell me it is not so
              Originally Posted by agmccall View Post

              Why such fear and hatred of an opposing opinion?
              Did you actually read your own article? Your article opposes your own stated opinion, not the opinions of those you disagree with.


              It's says:
              "Statistically, it's pretty unlikely that an 11-year hiatus in warming, like the one we saw at the start of this century, would occur if the underlying human-caused warming was progressing at a rate as fast as the most severe IPCC projections,"
              The article plainly says that the researchers believe that the man-made global warming is real. Their only point is that it may not be as bad as the worst case/most severe projections.


              They also say their point of view is a "middle of the road" opinion about man-made global warming.


              The also say:
              Under the IPCC's middle-of-the-road scenario, there was a 70 percent likelihood that at least one hiatus lasting 11 years or longer would occur between 1993 and 2050, Brown said. "That matches up well with what we're seeing."
              This means, they believe a warming "hiatus" should be expected. In no way should a "hiatus" be interpreted as man made global warming doesn't exist and that it won't continue.


              You'd think that you would accept the very same "evidence" you wanted to accept. But we both know that won't happen since the article doesn't match your pre-determined opinion.


              I'd love to see you as a trial lawyer: "Your honor. My client is innocent. Here's 5 videos, all from different angles with 5 different people shooting the videos showing my client robbing the bank, proving he's innocent".
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        • Profile picture of the author whateverpedia
          Originally Posted by agmccall View Post

          I got mine the same place you got yours and the same place the rest of the people posting here got theirs.

          here is an article you might want to read, but most koolaid drinkers stay very far away from opposing opinions because it might make them think.

          Joseph Bast and Roy Spencer: The Myth of the Climate Change '97%' - WSJ

          al
          Yep. The WSJ has gone downhill since Murdoch bought it out. It's now just FoxNews with some stockmarket data thrown in. I guess it won't be long until they're hacking into dead girls phones. Sad, very sad.
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        • Profile picture of the author whateverpedia
          Originally Posted by agmccall View Post

          I got mine the same place you got yours and the same place the rest of the people posting here got theirs.
          Fair point, but as I have stated every time this subject comes up, my "belief" in AGW does not come from politics, religion or even science. It comes from the insurance industry.

          Long before Al Gore "jumped on the bandwagon", the insurance industry was making documentaries about the dangers we faced, and how something needed to be done.

          If you'd like to know more, talk to your insurance company about it, or better still their insurers (ie the Re-insurance industry). You'll be disappointed, shocked, horrified and enlightened all at the same time.

          Mother Nature doesn't like what we are doing to her child, and like every other mother will defend her child and punish those who abuse it.

          The human race cannot win a fight against her. Our only hope is to work with her.
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        • Profile picture of the author Cali16
          Originally Posted by agmccall View Post

          but most koolaid drinkers stay very far away from opposing opinions because it might make them think.
          You do realize that assumption works both ways, don't you?

          You're certainly entitled to your opinion. But don't be so quick to label anyone who doesn't agree with you as a "koolaid drinker" who doesn't want to think. That's just blatant arrogance on your part.
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  • Profile picture of the author TLTheLiberator
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  • Profile picture of the author agmccall
    Duke Study Finds 'Natural Variability' Impacts Global Warming

    Global warming progressing at moderate rate, empirical data suggest

    Please tell me it is not so
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  • Profile picture of the author thunderbird
    Amazing that this thread is still here. Every time I started a thread about this scientific question, it got deleted as if it were a religious or political thread.
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    • Profile picture of the author Claude Whitacre
      Originally Posted by thunderbird View Post

      Amazing that this thread is still here. Every time I started a thread about this scientific question, it got deleted as if it were a religious or political thread.
      That's because it would turn into a religious or political thread. Give it time.
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      • Profile picture of the author SteveJohnson
        Originally Posted by Claude Whitacre View Post

        That's because it would turn into a religious or political thread. Give it time.
        AGW is a religion, complete with propaganda, fanatics, and calls for the punishment - even so far as execution - of non-believers and heretics.

        When the days of doom and catastrophic events predicted by the interpreters of data pass without so much as a whimper the reaction, if there is one at all, is the manipulation of the data and models to correlate with actual observations. Then the cycle starts again.
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        • Profile picture of the author Claude Whitacre
          Originally Posted by SteveJohnson View Post

          AGW is a religion, complete with propaganda, fanatics, and calls for the punishment - even so far as execution - of non-believers and heretics.

          When the days of doom and catastrophic events predicted by the interpreters of data pass without so much as a whimper the reaction, if there is one at all, is the manipulation of the data and models to correlate with actual observations. Then the cycle starts again.

          "punishment - even so far as execution - of non-believers and heretics"? Really? That is the first time I have ever heard of this. Please give a name or two of someone killed because they weren't Global Warming enthusiasts.

          My guess (and it's only a guess) is that you are referring to inflated claims...either made by a very small lunatic fringe, or just invented claims that are passed off as something to argue against.

          What claims are you referring to?

          Please understand that I know that insane people are not exclusive to one political party, or one agenda. It's possible that you have read claims that are not made based on science.

          "Propaganda and fanatics"? Absolutely. Stupid and insane people are in every group.
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          • Profile picture of the author SteveJohnson
            Originally Posted by Claude Whitacre View Post

            "punishment - even so far as execution - of non-believers and heretics"? Really? That is the first time I have ever heard of this. Please give a name or two of someone killed because they weren't Global Warming enthusiasts.

            My guess (and it's only a guess) is that you are referring to inflated claims...either made by a very small lunatic fringe, or just invented claims that are passed off as something to argue against.

            What claims are you referring to?

            Please understand that I know that insane people are not exclusive to one political party, or one agenda. It's possible that you have read claims that are not made based on science.
            You are usually so careful in your comments. I didn't say that anyone had been killed. I said,
            ... and calls for the punishment - even so far as execution - of non-believers and heretics.
            Arrest Climate-Change Deniers
            Those malcontents must be punished and stopped.
            Deniers will, of course, fuss and stomp and beat their breasts and claim this is persecution, this is a violation of free speech. Of course, they already say that now, when judges force them into doing penance for comparing climate scientists to child-rapist and denial poster-boy Jerry Sandusky.
            But First Amendment rights have never been absolute. You still can't yell "fire" in a crowded theater. You shouldn't be able to yell "balderdash" at 10,883 scientific journal articles a year, all saying the same thing: This is a problem, and we should take some preparations for when it becomes a bigger problem.
            From https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2012...rming-deniers/, a reproduction of an article published by the good professor on the University of Graz website:
            In this article I am going to suggest that the death penalty is an appropriate punishment for influential GW deniers. But before coming to this surprising conclusion, please allow me to explain where I am coming from.
            As for claims:

            In a speech to the British Institute of Biology, Paul Erlich said,
            By the year 2000 the United Kingdom will be simply a small group of impoverished islands, inhabited by some 70 million hungry people ... If I were a gambler, I would take even money that England will not exist in the year 2000.
            Miami Herald: Search Results has the original article for sale:
            GREENHOUSE WARMING NATIONS MAY VANISH, U.N. SAYS
            A senior U.N. environmental official says entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000. Coastal flooding and crop failures would create an exodus of "eco-refugees," threatening political chaos, said Noel Brown, director of the New York office of the United Nations U.N. Environment Program, or UNEP. He said governments have a 10-year window of opportunity to solve the greenhouse effect before...
            Obviously, 2000 has come and gone.

            If you should want more examples, The big list of failed climate predictions | Watts Up With That?
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            • Profile picture of the author Claude Whitacre
              Originally Posted by SteveJohnson View Post

              You are usually so careful in your comments. I didn't say that anyone had been killed. I said....
              You are right, and I was wrong.

              First, thanks for providing actual quotes. The quotes you post are from insane people, not serious people. Yes, even an occasional scientist can be a nut, or make unsubstantiated claims.

              On the other hand, you are quoting nuts, not the serious climatologists, not the vast vast majority of scientists.

              It would be like me saying that all gun owners are insane because one nut went crazy and shot some people in a theater. See? My example would be grossly unfair. For every idea, no matter how true or important, there are going to be a small minority that say stupid things, and get quoted. And you have found a source for those quotes.
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              • Profile picture of the author SteveJohnson
                Originally Posted by Claude Whitacre View Post

                You are right, and I was wrong.

                First, thanks for providing actual quotes. The quotes you post are from insane people, not serious people. Yes, even an occasional scientist can be a nut.

                On the other hand, you are quoting nuts, not the serious climatologists, not the vast vast majority of scientists.

                It would be like me saying that all gun owners are insane because one nut went crazy and shot some people in a theater. See? My example would be grossly unfair, just like your example. For every idea, no matter how true or important, there are going to be a small minority that say stupid things, and get quoted. And you have found a source for those quotes.
                My examples supported my contention that as far as the public is concerned, AGW has become a religion. As in any religion, there are mainstream believers, honest researchers, and outlying fanatics. Also as in any religion, the fanatics are the squeaky wheel that demands attention.

                I think the two articles I referenced above illustrate this pretty well. Much of the discussion is on the degree of exaggeration necessary to convince the public to fall off the fence to one side or another, and doesn't even focus on the climate science.
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  • Profile picture of the author SteveJohnson
    There are two interesting discussions relating to the 'politics of AGW'. The basic discussion is about what is required to bring the public to the conclusion - that conclusion being the unconditional acceptance of AGW - that will support the desired public policy changes that a particular group of people think is necessary.

    http://blogs.nottingham.ac.uk/making...comment-182401

    http://blogs.nottingham.ac.uk/making...limate-policy/

    Incidentally, you do know that the "97% consensus" statistical analysis has been thoroughly discredited as being fatally flawed? I don't have time to post all the links, but they are easily located. The original paper is here:
    Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature - IOPscience
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    • Profile picture of the author Kurt
      Originally Posted by SteveJohnson View Post

      Incidentally, you do know that the "97% consensus" statistical analysis has been thoroughly discredited as being fatally flawed? I don't have time to post all the links, but they are easily located. The original paper is here:
      Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature - IOPscience

      You mean the report that concludes:

      The narrative presented by some dissenters is that the scientific consensus is '...on the point of collapse' (Oddie 2012) while '...the number of scientific "heretics" is growing with each passing year' (Allègre et al 2012). A systematic, comprehensive review of the literature provides quantitative evidence countering this assertion. The number of papers rejecting AGW is a miniscule proportion of the published research, with the percentage slightly decreasing over time. Among papers expressing a position on AGW, an overwhelming percentage (97.2% based on self-ratings, 97.1% based on abstract ratings) endorses the scientific consensus on AGW.
      One states it's 97.2% and your source says it's only 97.1%. OK, you're right. Only 97.1% of those expressing a position in peer reviewed scientific publications believe in AGW.
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      • Profile picture of the author SteveJohnson
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        • Profile picture of the author Kurt
          I only read this one. The scientists' comments about their own papers should be respected.


          However, I have a few observations. The author of the web page says, "I emailed a sample of scientists whose papers were used in the study and asked them if the categorization by Cook et al. (2013) is an accurate representation of their paper. "


          What concerns me is that he didn't state the sample size, nor did he tell us how he selected his sample. Did he send out 6 emails and all 6 responded negatively or did he send out 1000 emails with only 6 responding? Or did he send out 1000 emails, got 100 responses and cherry picked those that matched an agenda? Where these emails sent at random or did he cherry pick?


          Also, of the 6 on the web page a few of them say they believe in AGW, although not to the extent of others.


          I also find this comment interesting:


          Dr. Tol found 7 papers falsely classified and 112 omitted,
          Tol: "WoS lists 122 articles on climate change by me in that period. Only 10 made it into the survey.

          I would rate 7 of those as neutral, and 3 as strong endorsement with quantification. Of the 3, one was rated as a weak endorsement (even though it argues that the solar hypothesis is a load of bull). Of the 7, 3 were listed as an implicit endorsement and 1 as a weak endorsement.

          ...from 112 omitted papers, one strongly endorses AGW and 111 are neutral"
          While the claims of his papers not being categorized correctly may be accurate, I would say that having 111 "neutral" papers and 1 that "strongly endorses AGW", tells us that he believes in AGW, since he doesn't seem to have any papers that try to deny AGW. So which is more important to the point, that his papers were mis-catorgized or that he believes in AGW?


          Another researcher or two also cited solar occurrences as contributors to GW. The problem with this is that if it was the Sun, then it follows that summer and day time temperatures would be rising the fastest, since it stands to reason that solar activity would most influence Earth when it was facing the Sun during the day and having more exposure to the Sun during summer months. However, just the opposite is true. It's the night time and winter temps that are raising the most. This is consistent with CO2 retaining heat.


          Which brings us to, I believe they all said that GW was occurring. They only disputed how their papers were classified and if it's man-made, or what percentage is man-made. Let's assume that GW is all "natural". Don't you think we need to still take action?


          I did find it interesting that "neutral" papers were on a sharp increase in the study in question though.


          BTW, as I said above I don't need to prove AGW to make a case to do away with carbon based fuels. I just need to prove they pollute my air, water and soil. Care to debate this point?
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          • Profile picture of the author agmccall
            Originally Posted by Kurt View Post


            Let's assume that GW is all "natural". Don't you think we need to still take action?
            This is the root of all the problems with "Climate Change", "Global Warming" or whatever ills with the world. It is this type of arrogance that has turned this debate into something as ugly as it is.

            "We have to do something" Face it, we are not that powerful. The earth has weathered some pretty catastrophic events long before man inhabited it. And it takes care of itself. It does not need you or me or anyone else to make the boo boo better.

            My position is, Sometimes it is warmer, sometimes it is cooler. I do not deny these things. What I do deny is that people are making these changes. Like I said before, climate is always changing. Can someone show me any scientific data of a time in earths history that climate "Stood Still".

            One of the main reasons I feel the way I do is by the main solution to this problem. "Carbon Tax Credits" I will not go into detail about this, but lets just say, some are getting or going to get very rich off this scheme.

            What about all this "Action" people claim will help cool us down or warm us up, or change the level of the ocean, or whatever the newest flavor of saving the world is. Do you have your electricity shut off, do you walk or ride a bike to work, do you work at a place that does not get their power from only wind, solar, and hydro, do you forgo vacations, do you not mow your lawn or use garden tools, do you not use chemical fertilizer or any chemicals in your homes? We all know the answers to these questions.

            So stop with the lectures, and if as many people as you think believe that you are so much more powerful than mother nature, then JUST DO IT, go off grid, totally off grid.

            al
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            • Profile picture of the author BigFrank
              Banned
              Originally Posted by agmccall View Post

              What I do deny is that people are making these changes.
              And you say it as if you know it to be a proven fact. That's why I could never have any respect for your position. It's based on ignorance and arrogance, only. Good luck with that.

              Cheers. - Frank
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            • Profile picture of the author Kurt
              Originally Posted by agmccall View Post

              This is the root of all the problems with "Climate Change", "Global Warming" or whatever ills with the world. It is this type of arrogance that has turned this debate into something as ugly as it is.

              "We have to do something" Face it, we are not that powerful. The earth has weathered some pretty catastrophic events long before man inhabited it. And it takes care of itself. It does not need you or me or anyone else to make the boo boo better.

              My position is, Sometimes it is warmer, sometimes it is cooler. I do not deny these things. What I do deny is that people are making these changes. Like I said before, climate is always changing. Can someone show me any scientific data of a time in earths history that climate "Stood Still".

              One of the main reasons I feel the way I do is by the main solution to this problem. "Carbon Tax Credits" I will not go into detail about this, but lets just say, some are getting or going to get very rich off this scheme.

              What about all this "Action" people claim will help cool us down or warm us up, or change the level of the ocean, or whatever the newest flavor of saving the world is. Do you have your electricity shut off, do you walk or ride a bike to work, do you work at a place that does not get their power from only wind, solar, and hydro, do you forgo vacations, do you not mow your lawn or use garden tools, do you not use chemical fertilizer or any chemicals in your homes? We all know the answers to these questions.

              So stop with the lectures, and if as many people as you think believe that you are so much more powerful than mother nature, then JUST DO IT, go off grid, totally off grid.

              al
              Are you really this out of touch? If GW exists in any shape or form and that we shouldn't do anything about it?


              Global warming will cause droughts and sea levels to rise. It will increase the frequency and strength of severe weather. And you really don't think we should do anything about it? You really think we should write off the Western US and not deal with the water issue? You know, the area of the US that's called "The Bread Basket of the World"? Are you positive the severe drought out west is just weather? Or could it be climate change, meaning it won't get better, only worse? But according to you, no one should change a thing.


              Speaking of getting rich off of schemes...Big Oil is the most profitable industry in the history of man kind. Don't pull the greed card, it doesn't make you look very educated on the subject.


              BTW, I spend about $40-50 a year on gas for my truck. I have websites and Youtube channels teaching people about wind and solar. I doubt many people use less electricity and water than I do. So quit lying that you know the answers to these questions. Go ahead and be a pig. You'll be on the wrong side of history.


              And quit insulting others while you complain about insults. But thanks again for the article you posted that proves yourself wrong.
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              • Profile picture of the author BigFrank
                Banned
                Originally Posted by Kurt View Post

                Are you really this out of touch? If GW exists in any shape or form and that we shouldn't do anything about it?
                Intellectual and moral laziness. Save your breath, Kurt. You can't have any effect on this type of rigidity. It's not worth getting worked up over and that is the main objective of these types of posts. Misery loves company. Don't give him any satisfaction. You can actually feel the smugness dripping from his words.

                Yes - it actually is possible to feel very sorry for someone and laugh at them at the same time. :-) I do it 'down here' quite often - although it has gotten better over the past month or so.

                Cheers. - Frank
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              • Profile picture of the author agmccall
                Originally Posted by Kurt View Post

                BTW, I spend about $40-50 a year on gas for my truck. I have websites and Youtube channels teaching people about wind and solar. I doubt many people use less electricity and water than I do. So quit lying that you know the answers to these questions. Go ahead and be a pig. You'll be on the wrong side of history.
                Don't personalize the argument, because for every"One" of you there are 100 who have the same belief system that do nothing except go to cocktail parties and agree with whatever cause is being chatted about.

                As far as being a "PIG" My house is totally "OFF GRID" Electric company is not even hooked up. I am powered by Solar and Wind. Although, I have a generator in case of emergencies. The reasons are not to save the planet but to save me money and be prepared and to take care of myself. And next year I hope to be making my own bio diesel for my tractor. Currently I get my bio diesel from a farmer near me who makes it.

                And I am not saying that people should not do things to make their lives better and healthier. What I am saying is it is delusional to think you are capable of changing nature. You, me, and everyone else, even combined are not GOD. But some seem to think they are.
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                • Profile picture of the author BigFrank
                  Banned
                  Originally Posted by agmccall View Post

                  As far as being a "PIG" My house is totally "OFF GRID" The reasons are not to save the planet but to save me money
                  Ah, yes. Off-grid, but not 'off-greed.' So - it really is just all about you and the rest of us poor suckers can go pound sand? Nice. Thanks for finally baring your soul. At least we know now what we're dealing with.

                  Wow!

                  Cheers. - Frank
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                  • Profile picture of the author SteveJohnson
                    Originally Posted by BigFrank View Post

                    Ah, yes. Off-grid, but not 'off-greed.' So - it really is just all about you and the rest of us poor suckers can go pound sand? Nice. Thanks for finally baring your soul. At least we know now what we're dealing with.

                    Wow!

                    Cheers. - Frank
                    Because his reasons for 'going green' are not altruistic enough for you? He's doing what you want, trying to reduce his energy footprint. Evidently, that isn't enough, eh?
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                    • Profile picture of the author BigFrank
                      Banned
                      Originally Posted by SteveJohnson View Post

                      Because his reasons for 'going green' are not altruistic enough for you? He's doing what you want, trying to reduce his energy footprint. Evidently, that isn't enough, eh?
                      Not that it matters, but I approve. You're correct on the altruism, though. I do find the inclusion of the concept to always be an added benefit. Blame my hippie roots. :-)

                      Cheers. - Frank
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                  • Profile picture of the author agmccall
                    Originally Posted by BigFrank View Post

                    Ah, yes. Off-grid, but not 'off-greed.' So - it really is just all about you and the rest of us poor suckers can go pound sand? .

                    Wow!

                    Cheers. - Frank
                    Actually, you can do the exact same thing, but, for your own reasons. But if you think pounding sand is a better idea, then go for it

                    al
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                    • Profile picture of the author BigFrank
                      Banned
                      Originally Posted by agmccall View Post

                      Actually, you can do the exact same thing, but, for your own reasons.
                      Well, I do make an sincere attempt to use as little power as possible and even though I live on a lake, I'm even more conscientious about wasting a drop of water. Still, that does not give me license to deny what anyone can clearly see all around them. Ever heard of Glacier Nation Park? Small problem. No glaciers. So, since climate is always changing can I expect those glaciers to magically reappear some day? I think not.
                      But if you think pounding sand is a better idea, then go for it.
                      Why would I ever want to pound sand while there is so much pud at hand?

                      Cheers. - Frank
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                      • Profile picture of the author SteveJohnson
                        Originally Posted by BigFrank View Post

                        [...]

                        Ever heard of Glacier Nation Park? Small problem. No glaciers. So, since climate is always changing can I expect those glaciers to magically reappear some day? I think not.

                        [...]
                        Oh, they'll be back when the next ice age hits. None of us will be around to see it, though. Jonathan Livingston Seagull maybe, but none of us.
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                        • Profile picture of the author BigFrank
                          Banned
                          Originally Posted by SteveJohnson View Post

                          Oh, they'll be back when the next ice age hits. None of us will be around to see it, though. Jonathan Livingston Seagull maybe, but none of us.
                          Well, color me disappointed that I never got to see them in my lifetime. I've got a few good years left in me, so you'll excuse me if I hope the same scenario doesn't arise with the polar ice caps. :-)

                          Cheers. - Frank
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                • Profile picture of the author lanfear63
                  Originally Posted by agmccall View Post

                  Don't personalize the argument, because for every"One" of you there are 100 who have the same belief system that do nothing except go to cocktail parties and agree with whatever cause is being chatted about.

                  As far as being a "PIG" My house is totally "OFF GRID" Electric company is not even hooked up. I am powered by Solar and Wind. Although, I have a generator in case of emergencies. The reasons are not to save the planet but to save me money and be prepared and to take care of myself. And next year I hope to be making my own bio diesel for my tractor. Currently I get my bio diesel from a farmer near me who makes it.

                  And I am not saying that people should not do things to make their lives better and healthier. What I am saying is it is delusional to think you are capable of changing nature. You, me, and everyone else, even combined are not GOD. But some seem to think they are.
                  Wow, looks like you did something about it yourself but only for the ends of saving money. Hey look, it works. Dont you dare ever insert the word belief into your posts, on this. Save that for gods, and deities. There are only facts, which you chose to ignore.

                  If everyone on the planet did as you do: The co2 emissions would largely stop. The planet might possibly recover or at least the damage will be slowed down or lessened.

                  Yes, the planet will ultimately take care of itself. It will become uninhabitable and the human parasites reckless behavior will be cleansed from it's surface. I only hope when that happens that the damage we caused will be naturally reversible over time.

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                  • Profile picture of the author BigFrank
                    Banned
                    Originally Posted by lanfear63 View Post

                    It will become uninhabitable and the human parasites reckless behavior will be cleansed from it's surface.
                    Promises, promises!

                    Cheers. - Frank
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                  • Profile picture of the author SteveJohnson
                    Originally Posted by lanfear63 View Post

                    Wow, looks like you did something about it yourself but only for the ends of saving money. Hey look, it works. Dont you dare ever insert the word belief into your posts, on this. Save that for gods, and deities. There are only facts, which you chose to ignore.
                    What 'facts' might those be? You do understand that AGW is a hypothesis and not a fact, don't you? If you doubt that, I suggest that you stop getting your opinions from the media and delve into some of the scientific research papers that are readily available online.
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                    • Profile picture of the author lanfear63
                      Originally Posted by SteveJohnson View Post

                      What 'facts' might those be? You do understand that AGW is a hypothesis and not a fact, don't you? If you doubt that, I suggest that you stop getting your opinions from the media and delve into some of the scientific research papers that are readily available online.
                      You think there are enough hours in the day for either of us to sift through all the ever changing data online?

                      I just googled the keyphrase: "global warming false" (out of quotes) and got 14,300,000 results.

                      I then googled: "global warming real" (out of quotes) and got 59,300,000

                      We would both have our work cut out for us to sift through that lot, but for me, by the time I finished we would know anyway.

                      Much as I dislike the media as a reliable source for anything, there is a repeated consensus in reporting across the world that comes out in favour of the premise that it is happening and that over 97 percent of the scientific community are in agreement on this. (You think the media has a hidden agenda?) The evidence is based on hard data as well as modelling and we are also looking at a lot of modelling having been done across the world, all coming to the same conclusion.

                      Putting aside all arguments, based on the population of the world and its consumption of electrical power, the main fuel sources, coal, oil and gas will run out in about 100 years anyway. So, why not do something about it? Even if by some extraordinary luck or gross miscalculation, we do get away with the Climate Change thing.
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          • Profile picture of the author SteveJohnson
            Originally Posted by Kurt View Post

            I only read this one. The scientists' comments about their own papers should be respected.


            However, I have a few observations. The author of the web page says, "I emailed a sample of scientists whose papers were used in the study and asked them if the categorization by Cook et al. (2013) is an accurate representation of their paper. "


            What concerns me is that he didn't state the sample size, nor did he tell us how he selected his sample. Did he send out 6 emails and all 6 responded negatively or did he send out 1000 emails with only 6 responding? Or did he send out 1000 emails, got 100 responses and cherry picked those that matched an agenda? Where these emails sent at random or did he cherry pick?


            Also, of the 6 on the web page a few of them say they believe in AGW, although not to the extent of others.


            I also find this comment interesting:


            While the claims of his papers not being categorized correctly may be accurate, I would say that having 111 "neutral" papers and 1 that "strongly endorses AGW", tells us that he believes in AGW, since he doesn't seem to have any papers that try to deny AGW. So which is more important to the point, that his papers were mis-catorgized or that he believes in AGW?


            Another researcher or two also cited solar occurrences as contributors to GW. The problem with this is that if it was the Sun, then it follows that summer and day time temperatures would be rising the fastest, since it stands to reason that solar activity would most influence Earth when it was facing the Sun during the day and having more exposure to the Sun during summer months. However, just the opposite is true. It's the night time and winter temps that are raising the most. This is consistent with CO2 retaining heat.


            Which brings us to, I believe they all said that GW was occurring. They only disputed how their papers were classified and if it's man-made, or what percentage is man-made. Let's assume that GW is all "natural". Don't you think we need to still take action?

            I did find it interesting that "neutral" papers were on a sharp increase in the study in question though.

            BTW, as I said above I don't need to prove AGW to make a case to do away with carbon based fuels. I just need to prove they pollute my air, water and soil. Care to debate this point?
            I am pleasantly surprised that you read at least one of the articles.

            One of the things I found curiuos that I didn't delve into further were the large number of papers that were classified as 'implicit'ly agreeing with the premise of the analysis.

            As far as the debate goes, I'm sure just about everyone agrees that a source of energy that doesn't have adverse consequences is desirable. But at the moment, it is unattainable.

            Further, the air is not 'yours' any more than it is mine and in the overall scheme of things you have no more say than I do as to whether other people pollute or not. You can band together with other like-minded people to try to influence policy, but that is the extent of your ability to control other peoples' actions.

            I have no doubt that the climate is changing. It always has, always will. What I am skeptical of is the degree of man's influence over that change. There are a lot of theories, all unproven, and a lot of models that have always ended up proven wrong over time.

            I am not a follower of looking at the worst-case and working to prevent it. If that approach had been followed in the 70s, who knows the disastrous consequences that we would be experiencing now (I am speaking of the scientific consensus of the time that to combat global cooling, the polar ice caps should be partially melted).
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  • Profile picture of the author agmccall
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