Punxsutawney Phil and The Super Bowl - Just Discovered 10 - 0 trend!

Super Bowl Gamblers Take Note

Late night, bored, decided to compare how football teams do in the superbowl when compared with what Punxsatawney Phil forecasts.

This has nothing to do with how right or wrong Phil is, just how his picks correspond with the superbowl winner, AFC or NFC.

Since he picks either Long Winter(lw) or Early Spring(es) that gives us 2 permutations.

Then factor in the AFC and NFC and you get only 4 possible results
lwafc, lwnfc, esafc and esnfc, follow?

I checked every year since the first superbowl for the year it was played, not the year the season started.

Since the Superbowl has always been played in Jan or Feb, and Phil forecasts on Feb 2 , that makes sense.

Didn't expect to find much, but was blown away with one situation where he is 10-0!

there were 17 years of lwafc and 17 years of lwnfc, so nothing there.

esnfc had 10 appearances, and esafc only 6 so there was a small favor there, of 6 - 4 for the NFC to win whenever Phil predicts an early spring.

But I found a much more solid play.
EVERY SINGLE year that Phil predicted an Early Spring, the same conference won that won the previous year, with ZERO exceptions.

last year the NFC won, Phil predicted an Early Spring this year, so I can not ignore a stat that is 10 - 0 since 1970, regardless of venue, team, weather, etc.

I like the Pack to win outright, but they are favored by 2.5 pts. Do I think they will win by a field goal?

Well, since infallible stats and an overweight chipmunk tell me they are going to at least win by 1, I like the Pack -2.5.

Lay the number or tease the side and the total and take the pack +3.5 and over 38.

Tomorrow I will further research this and dig up all the old lines before kickoff in these 10 games and give you an exact stat against the spread, but that looks pretty good for now.

And remember, gambling's bad!