Disruptive cycles & trend dominance
Disruptive cycles & trend dominance
There are various trends (cycles) that determine our future.
Some are harmonious others conflict.
The algorithm of a cycle may be mathematically infinite but in the real world that cycle may terminate.
Examples of trends that influence our future are...
Geophysical trends EG: asteroid strikes, geomagnetics etc
Biological trends EG: extinction & renewal
Socio economic trends EG: elliot waves
Technological trends EG: moores law
The problem is that some of these cycles clearly conflict with each other. The biological trend is toward evolution & growth modulated by the constraints of the ecosytem. Yet the Geophysical trend of asteroid strikes can teminate the biological trend as though it were of zero consequence.
Another example is elliot wave theory which predicted the present economic crisis. This theory which also predicts a centuries long cessation of economic development in our immediate future is at complete odds with moores law and the continued exponential growth of technology.
The key word in determining cycle dominance is "disruption".
The whole process is itself evolutionary and the most disruptive trend (with the most disruptive capacity) is the one that prevails.
The technological trend with its exponential growth cycle "appears" to be the most disruptive. So how can technology be applied to avert economic collapse ?
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~
dis·rupt (dĭs-rŭpt')
tr.v. dis·rupt·ed, dis·rupt·ing, dis·rupts
1. To throw into confusion or disorder: Protesters disrupted the candidate's speech.
2. To interrupt or impede the progress, movement, or procedure of: Our efforts in the garden were disrupted by an early frost.
3. To break or burst; rupture.
[Latin disrumpere, disrupt-, to break apart : dis-, dis- + rumpere, to break apart; see reup- in Indo-European roots.]
dis·rupt'er, dis·rup'tor n., dis·rup'tion n.
The American Heritage® Dictionary of the English Language, Fourth Edition
Copyright © 2009 by Houghton Mifflin Company.
Published by Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.
Cite This Source
Disruption
Dis*rup"tion\, n. [L. disruptio, diruptio.] The act or rending asunder, or the state of being rent asunder or broken in pieces; breach; rent; dilaceration; rupture; as, the disruption of rocks in an earthquake; disruption of a state.
Webster's Revised Unabridged Dictionary, © 1996, 1998 MICRA, Inc.
Cite This Source
disruption
1646, from L. disruptionem, from stem of disrumpere "break apart, split," from dis- "apart" + rumpere "to break."
Online Etymology Dictionary, © 2001 Douglas Harper
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~
There are various trends (cycles) that determine our future.
Some are harmonious others conflict.
The algorithm of a cycle may be mathematically infinite but in the real world that cycle may terminate.
Examples of trends that influence our future are...
Geophysical trends EG: asteroid strikes, geomagnetics etc
Biological trends EG: extinction & renewal
Socio economic trends EG: elliot waves
Technological trends EG: moores law
The problem is that some of these cycles clearly conflict with each other. The biological trend is toward evolution & growth modulated by the constraints of the ecosytem. Yet the Geophysical trend of asteroid strikes can teminate the biological trend as though it were of zero consequence.
Another example is elliot wave theory which predicted the present economic crisis. This theory which also predicts a centuries long cessation of economic development in our immediate future is at complete odds with moores law and the continued exponential growth of technology.
The key word in determining cycle dominance is "disruption".
The whole process is itself evolutionary and the most disruptive trend (with the most disruptive capacity) is the one that prevails.
The technological trend with its exponential growth cycle "appears" to be the most disruptive. So how can technology be applied to avert economic collapse ?
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~
dis·rupt (dĭs-rŭpt')
tr.v. dis·rupt·ed, dis·rupt·ing, dis·rupts
1. To throw into confusion or disorder: Protesters disrupted the candidate's speech.
2. To interrupt or impede the progress, movement, or procedure of: Our efforts in the garden were disrupted by an early frost.
3. To break or burst; rupture.
[Latin disrumpere, disrupt-, to break apart : dis-, dis- + rumpere, to break apart; see reup- in Indo-European roots.]
dis·rupt'er, dis·rup'tor n., dis·rup'tion n.
The American Heritage® Dictionary of the English Language, Fourth Edition
Copyright © 2009 by Houghton Mifflin Company.
Published by Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.
Cite This Source
Disruption
Dis*rup"tion\, n. [L. disruptio, diruptio.] The act or rending asunder, or the state of being rent asunder or broken in pieces; breach; rent; dilaceration; rupture; as, the disruption of rocks in an earthquake; disruption of a state.
Webster's Revised Unabridged Dictionary, © 1996, 1998 MICRA, Inc.
Cite This Source
disruption
1646, from L. disruptionem, from stem of disrumpere "break apart, split," from dis- "apart" + rumpere "to break."
Online Etymology Dictionary, © 2001 Douglas Harper
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~
P.S.
Join The Future: Telekinetic Marketing