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Forex people: are we going to see an end to the US dollar crash?

by samstephens
56 replies
Hi forex people!

Just curious as to people's opinions: the US dollar value is shedding cents each day - it's now equal to 91.5 AUD.

Does anyone think we're going to see a slowing of the fall, or a plateau, or even better, a strengthening anytime soon?

It seems to be in quite a fast drop.

cheers
Sam
#crash #dollar #end #forex #people
  • Profile picture of the author nicholasb
    I dont know but I have been turning all my cash into gold and silver
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  • Profile picture of the author HarrisonJ
    I'd imagine that we will see a bottom to the US dollar soon. Every other country's value is based on it, so if it falls everyone's will fall.
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    • Profile picture of the author seasoned
      Originally Posted by HarrisonJ View Post

      I'd imagine that we will see a bottom to the US dollar soon.
      You're hopefully right, but....

      Originally Posted by HarrisonJ View Post

      Every other country's value is based on it, so if it falls everyone's will fall.
      ************WRONG*************!!!!!! That was NEVER true! The Swiss Franc is based on GOLD! Great Britain ORIGINALLY probably had a proper currency, but was part of a group called the "G7". But what WAS the G7 is now, LUDICROUSLY, called the G8! It now "consists" of France, United States, United Kingdom, Russia, Germany, Japan, Italy, and Canada. So WHY do I say LUDICROUSLY? WHY do I put "consists" in quotes? Well, what do Italy, France, Germany, and the UK have in common? They ALL have the EURO! SO, in the spirit of the G7, it is NOT the G8, but the G5!

      PART of their goal was to trade the SEVEN currencies to maintain parity. THAT was a driving force in what the dollar was worth. THAT is why currencies didn't stay the same related to one another. And they were/are the ONLY group managing the relationship!

      Steve
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      • Profile picture of the author whateverpedia
        Originally Posted by seasoned View Post

        Well, what do Italy, France, Germany, and the UK have in common? They ALL have the EURO!
        News that the UK has the euro as its currency will come as a major shock to our UK warrior friends, and all other UK citizens.

        Typo perhaps?
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        • Profile picture of the author seasoned
          Originally Posted by whateverpedia View Post

          News that the UK has the euro as its currency will come as a major shock to our UK warrior friends, and all other UK citizens.

          Typo perhaps?
          I made a mistake. 8-(
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      • Profile picture of the author zapseo
        Originally Posted by seasoned View Post

        You're hopefully right, but....



        ************WRONG*************!!!!!! That was NEVER true! The Swiss Franc is based on GOLD! Great Britain ORIGINALLY probably had a proper currency, but was part of a group called the "G7". But what WAS the G7 is now, LUDICROUSLY, called the G8! It now "consists" of France, United States, United Kingdom, Russia, Germany, Japan, Italy, and Canada. So WHY do I say LUDICROUSLY? WHY do I put "consists" in quotes? Well, what do Italy, France, Germany, and the UK have in common? They ALL have the EURO! SO, in the spirit of the G7, it is NOT the G8, but the G5!

        PART of their goal was to trade the SEVEN currencies to maintain parity. THAT was a driving force in what the dollar was worth. THAT is why currencies didn't stay the same related to one another. And they were/are the ONLY group managing the relationship!

        Steve
        Okay, I must have missed something. I thought it was no longer G8 but G20.

        Pretty soon, we'll have the whole UN in there...
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        • Profile picture of the author vicone
          I recently read "In A Sunburned Country" by Bill Bryson - it was a fascinating look at Australia. Does the sheer size and the "all by itself" positioning combine to keep you folks out of the ups and downs of economy the rest of the world is experiencing?
          Australia is fortunate in having large deposits of iron ore, coal, and other mining products which are in strong demand by overseas growth economies, such as China.

          The government gives priority to keeping inflation low and employment at a fairly high level (as high as they can without impacting on inflation).

          However, we are subject to major price changes of imported products, such as oil. We also import a lot of manufactured goods, such as motor vehicles, electronics, books and textiles. These are often paid for (by importers) in US dollars, so if the US $ falls that means cheaper prices to Australian buyers.

          On the other hand, Australian exports will suffer as the Australian dollar rises because our products will become more expensive to overseas buyers and, if sold in US $, our exporters will receive less.

          Tariff barriers were reduced so that relatively inefficient industries which couldn't compete (eg textiles) closed and we imported those products from countries in Asia which had a competitive advantage.

          So, overall, our basic situation isn't too bad but we can be hurt by declining revenues from exports.

          Economic policies are also reflected in immigration policies. For instance, I recently met a Computer Engineer who migrated here from the UK but his visa was delayed because his university degree (and experience) was in Computer Science. However he was admitted because his wife was a qualified hairdresser (a skill in short supply). Such is life!

          Ivan
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        • Profile picture of the author seasoned
          Originally Posted by zapseo View Post

          Okay, I must have missed something. I thought it was no longer G8 but G20.

          Pretty soon, we'll have the whole UN in there...
          YEAH, for a moment I thought that ALSO! The G20 is described as follows....

          Since 1999, the G-20 has contributed to strengthen the international financial architecture and to foster sustainable economic growth and development. The G-20 now has a crucial role in driving forward work between advanced and emerging economies to tackle the international financial and economic crisis, restore worldwide financial stability, lead the international economic recovery and secure a sustainable future for all countries.
          Earlier, they said the two were SEPARATE, but NOW it looks like G20 to replace G8 as main economic forum - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation) ! There are plans to have the last G8 meeting next year. Oh well, for now, it looks like what I said stands. We'll see next year.


          HERE is how wikipedia describes the G8
          The Group of Eight (G8, and formerly the G6 or Group of Six and also the G7 or Group of Seven) is a forum, created by France in 1975, for governments of the six richest countries in the world: France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States. In 1976, Canada joined the group (thus creating the G7). In becoming the G8, the group added Russia in 1997. In addition, the European Union is represented within the G8, but cannot host or chair.[1]
          The "G8" is a group of people representing the money suppliers from 8 countries and they decide what to do by using their collective positions to move the worthless "currency" the way they wish. If they ALL want the dollar to go up, for example, they will buy dollars and such investments with their currency. They may also lower their rates.

          Steve
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  • Profile picture of the author Charann Miller
    Not anytime soon, unfortunately it's estimated that the US/AUD will be dollar for dollar by mid next year and at this rate it looks possible that's going to happen.

    That's why gold's off the charts, people feel it's a more stable investment and based upon something more tangible with less tendency to fluctuate as quickly as currencies.
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    • Profile picture of the author samstephens
      Originally Posted by Charann Miller View Post

      Not anytime soon, unfortunately it's estimated that the US/AUD will be dollar for dollar by mid next year and at this rate it looks possible that's going to happen.
      ...or possibly by mid next week, the way things are looking...
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  • Profile picture of the author OhTanner
    im glad i got out of forex last year, way to confusing.
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    • Profile picture of the author disi
      AUD is wrong example...it is a currency related with Gold so as gold goes up so does AUD.

      As a guy with 12y of experience(7 on forex) I will tell you this:

      NOBODY KNOWS THAT

      Fundamentally dollar is s**** for many reasons...Americans take a lot of debs etc, Obama is nationalising private companies. But USA is a too big player and nobody will dare to kill dollar.(maybe China- but not sooner than 10years from now).

      In short time frame (1-2) years dollar should rebound. But there are many problems which any unknown day may bring more problems for dollar.
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      • Profile picture of the author vicone
        AUD is wrong example...it is a currency related with Gold so as gold goes up so does AUD
        .
        The Australian dollar hasn't been backed by a gold standard for many years. The AUD floats freely in the currency market.

        Ivan.
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        • Profile picture of the author allthesp
          Everyone knows (if you know anything about Smith, Ricardo, etc, etc) that dollars, gold, etc are practically worthless.

          That being said, the dollar is hyper inflated, but that is good for America because that allows us to consume a ton of things, while in return we give China our worthless money.

          Unfortunately they then by our companies =(.
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          • Profile picture of the author Martin Luxton
            Sam,

            All the money market people (not forex traders - different animals) I've been reading have been saying the same thing.

            1. The only way to reduce America's debt burden is to "help" the dollar crash. If you read Bernanke's thoughts on the Great Depression and what he thought worked/didn't work, you'll see he thinks a massive dollar devaluation is the only way to go. It's a dangerous path because if the dollar falls too much foreigners will stop financing government debt and interest rates will have to rise, probably killing off any recovery for years.

            2. The G20 is now starting to call the tune and the dollar's days as a reserve currency are numbered.

            3. Gold and silver are going to hit record highs. If you don't want the hassle of storing precious metals invest in gold ETFs or mining companies.

            4. Australia has probably the soundest economy in the world right now. It didn't go into a recession, unemployment has just fallen and your biggest trading partner, China, is still desperate for raw materials. No massive budget deficit and room to manoeuvre with interest rates. And the government giveaway did what it was supposed to do - stimulate the economy, not bail out incompetent banks. The government has indicated that it has a plan for gradually increasing interet rates, which will also attract support for the AUD.

            5. Don't bet against the Aussie dollar being worth more than it's US counterpart. It's already risen some 42% since last autumn's low.

            Martin

            (Usual FTC-friendly disclaimer: I'm not a Nobel Prize winner for economics and the above should not be construed as financial advice, it's just something I made up this morning while I was having breakfast)
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            • Profile picture of the author Marhelper
              Originally Posted by Martin Luxton View Post

              If you don't want the hassle of storing precious metals invest in gold ETFs or mining companies.
              Good call! I suggest looking to Yamana Gold (AUY) if you want an up and comer but ETFs do provide more protection (As always consult with a financial "expert" prior to taking advice).

              The dollar is headed way down as a result of all of the mad tendency toward printing off dollars without any real plan to deal with the defecit. Can anyone say, "Bananna Republic?"
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              • Profile picture of the author Kevin Riley
                I'm changing my order buttons. Soon, all my products will be priced in Pukka Shells. I'm just consulting with PayPal on how to slip the shells into the front of a computer.
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                • Profile picture of the author Martin Luxton
                  Originally Posted by Kevin Riley View Post

                  I'm changing my order buttons. Soon, all my products will be priced in Pukka Shells. I'm just consulting with PayPal on how to slip the shells into the front of a computer.
                  A lot of people still have a gap where their floppy disc drive used to be. My son uses it for storing his small toys () but I'm sure it can be adapted for Pukka Shells.

                  Martin
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          • Profile picture of the author disi
            Originally Posted by allthesp View Post

            Everyone knows (if you know anything about Smith, Ricardo, etc, etc) that dollars, gold, etc are practically worthless.

            That being said, the dollar is hyper inflated, but that is good for America because that allows us to consume a ton of things, while in return we give China our worthless money.

            Unfortunately they then by our companies =(.
            China is buying your debt - watch out! Some day they can say "check"(like in poker) and halve of US economy will go down! That is scary scenario but this is the fact - China has had so much money that they invested it in US...your economy exists in some way thanks to it. If this collaps some day they will survive as they need less money to live - in America people got used to life on high level so it will hurt you more.

            I hope it will never happen as this would hurt all.
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        • Profile picture of the author disi
          Originally Posted by vicone View Post

          .
          The Australian dollar hasn't been backed by a gold standard for many years. The AUD floats freely in the currency market.

          Ivan.

          HaHa...yes I did not mean that it is backed by gold...it is related, sorry if I did not make it clear enough. The more gold is rising the more AUD gains...Australia is a place where lot of gold is taken from. That is part of 'intermarket' analysis.
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  • Profile picture of the author whateverpedia
    Originally Posted by samstephens View Post

    Does anyone think we're going to see a slowing of the fall, or a plateau, or even better, a strengthening anytime soon?
    Not sure why a fellow Aussie would want the US$ to rise against our own $.

    Except of course if you're getting paid in US$. That makes the amount of Aussies you get after conversion less than it was.

    On the other side of the coin (pun intended), any purchases for goods/services in US$ are comparatively cheap for us.

    Swings and roundabouts, swings and roundabouts.

    I know some insiders in the foreign exchange industry (not traders), and they reckon the US$ is on it's last legs, literally.

    So buy goods/services in US$, but get paid in euros, pounds, aussies, goats, chickens, anything other than greenbacks.

    And yeah, get your hands on some gold, silver, platinum, other prescious metals. This can be done indirectly in Oz by buying shares in miners who deal in these metals.

    But greenbacks, nah, wouldn't touch them at this stage. Nor any time in the near future either.

    Oblig FTC Disclaimer:
    I am not an investment/curency advisor, so any advice from me should be regarded as not worth the paper it's printed on, but still more valuable than the US$ is going to be worth.

    Every other country's value is based on it, so if it falls everyone's will fall.
    WTF?!?! As the US$ goes down, every other currency goes up.

    Thiose who think the US$ will always be "the currency against which all others are measured", need to realise that before WWII, the "world" currency was the pound sterling. The British Empire lasted from the defeat of the Spanish Armada, through to the first half of the 20th century. The Ameican "empire" (for that is what it is) lasted 60-70 years.

    The Chinese are already starting to consider dumping the US$, and buying their goods in euros, or even good old fashioned gold/silver/commodities.

    To see why the US$ is all but doomed, watch "Zeitgeist". Fractional Reserve Banking is the culprit that is destroying America.

    More info here: "US Dollar In Strong Long Term Downward Trend".
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    • Profile picture of the author samstephens
      Originally Posted by whateverpedia View Post

      Not sure why a fellow Aussie would want the US$ to rise against our own $.

      Except of course if you're getting paid in US$. That makes the amount of Aussies you get after conversion less than it was.

      On the other side of the coin (pun intended), any purchases for goods/services in US$ are comparatively cheap.
      That's exactly it: I sell in USD, and each day I'm waiting my profit margins take another hit.

      So don't worry, I'm still as patriotic as they come, but I earn more in USD than I spend in USD, so it's starting to hurt.

      Since I'm selling through Clickbank, I don't really have much of a choice in regard to which currency I sell in.

      I banked a Clickbank cheque a few days ago, and the lady behind the counter (which I know well) said "Ooh, you're not going to like it!"

      If we see an Aussie dollar stronger than the US (which was apparently the case twenty or thirty years ago?), I'm either going to have to raise prices or sell my body on the streets.

      ...though I don't think that second choice will nett me much profit.

      cheers
      Sam
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      • Profile picture of the author whateverpedia
        Originally Posted by samstephens View Post

        'm either going to have to raise prices or sell my body on the streets.
        LOL. Just don't sell it for $US.
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  • Profile picture of the author St Croix
    (no money advice here)

    Just want to shout out the fellow Aussie IM'ers on this thread.

    Soon we might be calculating the exchange deficits in our CB payouts!
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    • Profile picture of the author whateverpedia
      Originally Posted by St Croix View Post

      (no money advice here)

      Just want to shout out the fellow Aussie IM'ers on this thread.

      Soon we might be calculating the exchange deficits in our CB payouts!
      ... and a shout back to ya.

      Yeah, CB is a bit depressing. All my revenue at the moment is Adsense which I have paid in Aussies.

      BTW Sam, were you aware that you can have CB payments made directly to your bank a/c? Lot better than waiting half an hour for the bank teller to fill out all the paperwork involved with depositing a foreign cheque?

      Don't know which bank you're with, but mine used to charge me $15 per cheque to deposit them. 17 different CB accounts, 17 cheques, $285 to the bank.

      There are still fees to be paid (obviously), but they are still cheaper than the "deposit" fee.

      Steve (real name)
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  • Profile picture of the author Zach Booker
    This is somewhat off topic...

    But does anyone know if you can get paid through Clickbank through Euros?

    I know a few CPA networks have that option and i'm thinking it may be time to switch.

    No one seems to have much faith - anywhere you go - in the US dollar.

    Zach
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  • Profile picture of the author Stallion
    Canadian dollar is pushing to parity. Might be there in a few weeks. I'm sitting on a check right now waiting for the US Dollar at least strengthen a few pennies. Right now with the bank's exhange rate it's practically parity.
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  • Profile picture of the author Chris Thompson
    Sam's email gave me a very different spin on this thread. I looked at my product (sold in USD) and then went to Yahoo Finance to check out the graph of AUD/USD. Wow. What a rally in the last few months. So all of the Aussie leads I've generated previously thought my course was too expensive.

    I've just done an email, using aweber, ONLY to Australian IP addresses (easy to do) and simply pointed out that my program now costs way less than before.

    We'll see what happens. But isn't it interesting to know that you can start to send out geographically segmented emails based upon currency moves.

    See some country who's currency had a massive fall? Tell them you are giving them a discount and send them to a special page that you'll take down after "x" days.

    See a country who's currency went up a massive amount? Point out how cheap your product has become. We can use currency to our advantage.
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  • Profile picture of the author DogScout
    Be careful with gold. No one even knows how much there is. China alone may have double or triple the amount they claim and India has easily as much gold not recorded as there is in the rest of the world combined in the form of religious icons. So if China ever invaded India, (and who could stop her?) and melted down all the religious gold icons, gold values would drop in half.
    Gold is very much like diamonds. De beers created an artricial shortage of them in the late 1800's and that perceived value lasts to this day. If they ever opened the vaults, diamonds would be worth little more than quartz.
    But that is a whole 'nother story
    lol
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    • Profile picture of the author PCRoger
      Originally Posted by DogScout View Post

      Be careful with gold. No one even knows how much there is. China alone may have double or triple the amount they claim and India has easily as much gold not recorded as there is in the rest of the world combined in the form of religious icons. So if China ever invaded India, (and who could stop her?) and melted down all the religious gold icons, gold values would drop in half.
      Gold is very much like diamonds. De beers created an artricial shortage of them in the late 1800's and that perceived value lasts to this day. If they ever opened the vaults, diamonds would be worth little more than quartz.
      But that is a whole 'nother story
      lol
      I disagree, in two parts.

      There are excellent estimates as to how much gold has ever been mined and it is assumed that most is still around - somewhere - and it's taken into account.

      Diamonds can now essentially be manufactured. Hasn't happened with gold and I don't think it ever will.

      PCRoger.
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    • Profile picture of the author whateverpedia
      Originally Posted by DogScout View Post

      So if China ever invaded India, (and who could stop her?)
      Well, probably India (a nuclear power with over a billion people) could stop, or at least make it very difficult for China to invade India.

      Russia wouldn't be too impressed by China's move either.

      Pakistan would join in on China's side, and there you have it 4 nuclear powers going at it hammer and tongs.

      Armageddon anyone?
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  • Profile picture of the author DogScout
    India's billion are men, women and children
    China could subscript an army of men (15-55) of almost that many in 20 years or so.
    Assuming that no one is stupid enough to use nukes, no one could stop China.

    In 1949, Mao Tse Tung outlined his world domination plan openly. It was a 100 yr plan. It included the 'one child per family' policy in order to create half a billion or more Chinese males with no outlet of testosterone except war. I also included gaining control of the Venezuela sand oil fields and Canada's Athabasca tar fields. (which they now own 31+% of). It relied on the shortage of easy liquid oil in the mid-east (due to run out at present use around 2040)
    The plan called for them to invade India, grab thier gold, invade the Middle East and grab the last of the easy liquid oil reserves. They would then take Africa for their oil reserves & gold that have been greatly under utilized (except just recently with China buying most of the oil companies in Africa. They are basically 'colonizing' Africa at this point. Due to resentment at past Western policies in Africa, they operate pretty much as they please today.) Then absorb Europe and Russia.
    The 'conspiracy' theory is we invaded Iraq not to depose Saddam or because Bush was mad at him for trying to kill his daddy, but that after taking India, the only over land pathway to the Mid-East is between the Himalayas and the Mediterranean and the bottleneck is Iraq and Iran.
    That would help explain why the US made permanent concrete military runways at the 1st posts it set up instead of using the roll out metal grate ones. They knew they were going to be there a while. They US thinks it's only chance to stop China is that bottle neck. It assumes transporting that many men by sea or air to get around a blockade will be impossible to do.
    (The hard part will be supply lines, but the current thinking is they have no ideology that prevents them from instituting cannibalism to help reduce the items needed to be transported to support such a move.) :O

    Don't you love conspiracy theories?
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  • Profile picture of the author Anonymous Affiliate
    No one knows where US$ is going. Forex traders know no better.
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  • Profile picture of the author samstephens
    Hi Martin,

    1. The only way to reduce America's debt burden is to "help" the dollar crash.
    This is facinating: how does a devalued currency help reduce a country's debt?

    This sort of stuff facinates me, but I'm still a bit of a newbie when it comes to things like that.



    I've just done an email, using aweber, ONLY to Australian IP addresses (easy to do) and simply pointed out that my program now costs way less than before.
    Great idea, Chris! I'd love to hear how it turns out!




    I'm changing my order buttons. Soon, all my products will be priced in Pukka Shells.
    Oh good Kevin, because I've got a whole bag of Pukka Shells in my shed, and I've got my eye on a couple of your products. Let me know know it's live!

    cheers
    Sam
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    • Profile picture of the author vicone
      Quote:
      1. The only way to reduce America's debt burden is to "help" the dollar crash.
      This is facinating: how does a devalued currency help reduce a country's debt?
      If the American dollar falls, this makes imported goods more expensive for US residents and stimulates demand for locally-made goods and boosts manufacture and jobs within the US. As well, to those outside the US, American goods become cheaper to buy, which stimulates American exports, US manufacturing and creates jobs to produce those goods. There is also a flow-on effect as more profits and the growth in employment stimulate investment and increase demand for goods (and services) by the American people.

      Ivan
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      • Profile picture of the author seasoned
        Originally Posted by vicone View Post

        If the American dollar falls, this makes imported goods more expensive for US residents and stimulates demand for locally-made goods and boosts manufacture and jobs within the US. As well, to those outside the US, American goods become cheaper to buy, which stimulates American exports, US manufacturing and creates jobs to produce those goods. There is also a flow-on effect as more profits and the growth in employment stimulate investment and increase demand for goods (and services) by the American people.

        Ivan
        And what happens with all the US industries that moved OFFSHORE? What about the raw materials the US no longer produces, etc.... Do you realize that a decade ago, the WORLDS biggest aluminum producer was probably in the US. NOW, Wikipedia says it is THIRD! Well, it WAS third before it sold off a LOT of its capacity. Is it STILL third? It just reported a profit that surprised people, and the stock price went up. DUH! The sales could be reported over maybe the next 3 years. WHERE will it be in 2012? The US USED to be the world leader in TVS. Do they make ANY anymore? I know they STOPPED making the CRT type. The US USED to be a leader in radios. Maybe they don't make THOSE anymore either. And what of computer memory? Remember how expensive it got because ONE japanese resin plant blew up? Even IBM sold their laptop line to the chinese! The US companies have sold the US down the river to save a few pennies!

        Steve
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  • Profile picture of the author rondo
    Sam got Foxtel? They regularly screen a movie called I.O.U.S.A. Interesting movie explains the US debt and dollar devaluation. The USA owes 50T or 180k per person!

    Andrew
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    • Profile picture of the author Josiah
      Originally Posted by rondo View Post

      Sam got Foxtel? They regularly screen a movie called I.O.U.S.A. Interesting movie explains the US debt and dollar devaluation. The USA owes 50T or 180k per person!

      Andrew
      180,000 PER person...

      Oh man that is ridiculous...

      Goodbye US dollar then?


      I MISS THE DAYS WHEN THE AUSSIE DOLLAR WAS 56 CENTS TO THE US DOLLAR...

      It was like making nearly 50% more income for doing nothing

      Please US dollar... Go back up!

      Josiah
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      • Profile picture of the author vicone
        I MISS THE DAYS WHEN THE AUSSIE DOLLAR WAS 56 CENTS TO THE US DOLLAR...
        More recently, the AUD has been around the US 0.75c mark, so that for every $US100 earned by an Aussie we received 100/75 = $133 which gave us a bonus of an extra $33.

        As the rate is now about .92c, we receive 100/92 = $109 which is 82% (109/133) of what was received when the exchange rate was at the 75c mark.

        Understandably, Aussie internet marketers who are paid in US dollars (most of us) favor a strong US currency.

        A stronger US dollar can be aided by a higher US interest rate which would increase demand for the US dollar as money flowed into the country to take advantage of the higher rates. The downside is that this makes goods, and mortgages, more expensive in the US, dampens consumer demand and impacts on jobs.

        Politically, I'd expect a weaker currency, which could boost the American economy and would be more appealing to the Administration than increasing interest rates, which would support the currency exchange rate but have a negative effect on the economy.

        Ivan
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      • Profile picture of the author whateverpedia
        Originally Posted by Josiah View Post

        I MISS THE DAYS WHEN THE AUSSIE DOLLAR WAS 56 CENTS TO THE US DOLLAR
        Even better when $AU1 was $US0.48.

        Glory days indeed. More than $AU2 for every $US.

        I'm changing my order buttons. Soon, all my products will be priced in Pukka Shells. I'm just consulting with PayPal on how to slip the shells into the front of a computer.
        Kev, Kev, Kev. Every time there is a serious discussion anywhere on this forum, you pop up with a humourous comment. Luv ya for it (in a platonic sense of course).

        If Paypal get back to you can you let us know how to do it, so I can do the same thing with the goats/chickens I mentioned above.
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      • Profile picture of the author Kevin Riley
        Originally Posted by Josiah View Post

        180,000 PER person...

        Oh man that is ridiculous...

        Goodbye US dollar then?


        I MISS THE DAYS WHEN THE AUSSIE DOLLAR WAS 56 CENTS TO THE US DOLLAR...

        It was like making nearly 50% more income for doing nothing

        Please US dollar... Go back up!

        Josiah

        Yup! Just last year, I was getting 130 Yen for every dollar. Now it's just under 90 Yen. That's a big loss every time I transfer cash into my bank here.
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    • Profile picture of the author samstephens
      Thanks Ivan, that makes sense!




      Originally Posted by rondo View Post

      Sam got Foxtel? They regularly screen a movie called I.O.U.S.A. Interesting movie explains the US debt and dollar devaluation. The USA owes 50T or 180k per person!

      Andrew
      No I don't have Foxtel (I'd be tempted to watch WAY too much TV. My TiVo is already enough of a temptation ).

      That's interesting, though. So all everyone in America needs to do is chip in $180k, and problem solved!

      cheers
      Sam
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  • Profile picture of the author Charann Miller
    The NZD was around the 50 cent mark in January and now it's sitting at 71 cents, that's explosive growth, you can see why people are making a killing with trading currencies especially with all the volatility in the markets.
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  • Profile picture of the author zapseo
    I don't know about the drop in the US Dollar:AUD -- but I do remember when the AUD slid from about $.80 to about $.60 to the AUD -- and it ALSO did that very quickly. And it was a little after, I think, when the CAD went parity and beyond to the USD.

    Live JoyFully!

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  • Profile picture of the author rondo
    Just to clarify, the current national debt is over 11T, and the remainder is needed to fund government promises. Total 53T.

    Clip from the movie:
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    • Profile picture of the author Martin Luxton
      Sam,

      Use your programming knowledge to make this an opportunity. I was thinking along the lines of Chris Thompson.

      You could add something to DL Guard (or make a standalone script) where you produce the price buttons in local currency based on the dollar price of 6 months ago so you keep your margins and the local buyers don't think they are paying too much. If you look at quite a few big companies their prices in America are much lower than the same thing abroad but you can't buy from the American site unless you are based in the USA.

      Just an idea to get your teeth into.

      If you want to learn more about the markets here are a couple of interesting newsletters to subscribe to

      Uncommon Wisdom ? Extraordinary Insights For Growing Your Wealth

      (latest headline "The most dramatic declines in the dollar and the most remarkable increase in resources ARE STILL DEAD AHEAD!")

      Which is a spin off from

      Money and Markets: Free Investment Email Newsletter

      Caveat emptor! Bear in mind that these people are marketers, too.

      Martin
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  • Profile picture of the author Gavin Abeyratne
    On the strong AUD.....

    I suppose for us aussie marketers, it makes outsourcing, ppc, product creation, and massive upscaling extremely cheap comparatively.

    Im just getting started in this game, and already it seems cheaper for me to work a crappy job @ $20 per hour and pay to get stuff done rather than to do it myself!
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  • Profile picture of the author seasoned
    OK, I don't know enough about the AUSTRALIAN dollar, so comparisons against IT may not be fair. I decided to check against the EURO! The EURO is with the G8, so either they are practically BRAINDEAD, or they use the SAME method as the dollar, not that I consider THAT much better.

    So I will use the EURO because they use the same system, and were SUPPOSED to try to keep the currency 1:1. Of course, they didn't realize how STUPID this system is.

    OK, first of all, your comments are a LITTLE misleading. It has really only shown a "CONSISTANT" downward trend, SHORT TERM, since 10/13/2009. Of course, the LONG term trend has been DOWN.

    NOW, for the GOOD news! The last time it was this low was 08/15/2008! By 8/16 it was up to 0.67840! It started a not so obvious climb to it's high of 0.80040 on 11/14.

    OBVIOUSLY, this is NO guarantee, but it shows you we have been here BEFORE and RECENTLY!

    AGAIN, australia is PROBABLY different. That doesn't mean THAT much when you compare Australia with everyone else though. I am using the EURO because it is a more even comparison.

    Steve
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  • Profile picture of the author samstephens
    That's an interesting idea, Martin - I'm considering looking at doing a European aimed site, and selling in Euro's. Just test it out and see how it performs.


    Steve, I think the Aussie dollar is a bit different because we haven't been affected greatly by the "World Financial Crisis". Possibly something to do with the fact that we only have five major banks, and so the government didn't have to bail them out. Instead they bailed out some other companies, and then gave everyone cash to buy big screen TV's, and ended up sending us from a 20 billion surplus to a 50 billion deficiet, but such is life, I guess.

    Either way we seem to have survived fine, and retail sales are up, and so I guess people are seeing this as a reasonably stable investment.

    So with the declining USD and the rising AUD, it sort of doubles the effect of the rise. Another cent since yesterday, it seems.

    cheers
    Sam
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    • Profile picture of the author Kay King
      Sam -

      I recently read "In A Sunburned Country" by Bill Bryson - it was a fascinating look at Australia. Does the sheer size and the "all by itself" positioning combine to keep you folks out of the ups and downs of economy the rest of the world is experiencing?

      kay
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  • Profile picture of the author parkerli
    I think at this point it is at the level it was last year when the market crashed. Definitly not good... I started shorting the dollar with an inverse US Dollar ETF- somewhat goof gains thus far!
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  • Profile picture of the author samstephens
    [quote]I recently read "In A Sunburned Country" by Bill Bryson - it was a fascinating look at Australia. Does the sheer size and the "all by itself" positioning combine to keep you folks out of the ups and downs of economy the rest of the world is experiencing?[quote]

    Hi Kay!

    I remember reading that when I was in school: "I love a sunburned country, a land of sweeping plains"

    ...and something about dirt, I think

    Isolation does tend to make things a lot different here, from what I understand. Ivan obviously knows a lot more about it than I do, but geographically speaking, our closet trading partners are Asia and the Pacific region.

    We do a lot of trade with China, but I think there's a bit of a love/hate thing going between our governments.

    Ivan is right about the currency: I have friends who own a music shop, and they're having a cheaper line of guitars made in China, but they pay in USD.

    It's an interesting mix

    cheers
    Sam
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  • Profile picture of the author samstephens
    The "G8" is a group of people representing the money suppliers from 8 countries and they decide what to do by using their collective positions to move the worthless "currency" the way they wish. If they ALL want the dollar to go up, for example, they will buy dollars and such investments with their currency. They may also lower their rates.
    That almost sounds like a bizzare economics version of price fixing, and kind of sounds illegal.

    It's amazing what happens behind the scenes!

    cheers
    Sam
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    • Profile picture of the author seasoned
      Originally Posted by samstephens View Post

      That almost sounds like a bizzare economics version of price fixing, and kind of sounds illegal.

      It's amazing what happens behind the scenes!

      cheers
      Sam
      YEAH, it IS price fixing! HEY, what do you expect when the *****ONLY***** REAL thing behind a currency is the value of its work and products? At least GOLD is tangible and has worth. If the US produced nothing that another country wanted, the G8 would be the ONLY thing keeping its currency afloat. Of course, the Euro, Rouble, canadian dollar, etc... are the SAME way.

      Let's face it! Australians DON'T want US dollars! They take them ONLY because they can buy US goods, or swap them with someone ELSE that wants to buy US goods. Granted, the "good" may be a vacation in hawaii, or california, etc... but you get my drift.

      When you hear about the G8 propping up the dollar... +g8 +dollar - Google Search or the feds fund rate Federal funds rate - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia THIS is what they are talking about. Just a few tricks to keep the federal reserve system "working". 8-/

      BTW the BAD news is that the dollar went down against the euro again. The GOOD news is it HAS been worse:

      Average (473 days): 0.72335
      High: 0.81100
      Low: 0.62350

      CURRENT: 10/16/2009 0.66980

      VARIES about (23.1196)

      Bear in mind that ORIGINALLY, they wanted this number to be 1!!!!! A euro costs us 1.49298! That is about as much as the pound was some time ago.

      As for the british pound?

      Average (473 days): 0.62356
      High: 0.74050
      Low: 0.49580

      CURRENT: 10/16/2009 0.61910

      VARIES about (33.0452)

      So the british pound only costs 1.61525!

      Aw what the heck, HERE is the australian dollar!

      Average (473 days): 1.32173
      High: 1.66300
      Low: 1.01510

      CURRENT: 10/16/2009 1.0880

      VARIES about (38.9597%)

      So the australian dollar costs about .91912 The average since about july of last year should be about 0.75658. That IS about a 17.684% drop, all things being equal.

      OH YEAH, I have been showing interbank rates. They should show relative strength against any other rate pretty clearly, but the price may vary according to market, and premiums. But I am sure you are aware of all that. These should be the wholesale rates BANKS deal with.

      Let's put this in perspective with GOLD


      Average (464 days): 0.00113
      High: 0.00143 (about $6990.30)
      Low: 0.00093 (about $1075.27)

      CURRENT: 10/16/2009 0.00095(about $1052.63)

      VARIES: (34.9650%)

      Steve
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