It Won't Happen To Us...

11 years ago

Good list though I think some big-box retailers will be OK for a while.

I'm curious to see how and when the construction trades will be affected. 3D and pre-fab advances could revolutionize home building and put a lot of trades-people out of work.

What's funny to me is I can look back and see WHY a huge industry folded - but it's hard to look ahead and see who is next.

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Dan Riffle

11 years ago

Video Stores

Cable/Satellite TV

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garyv

11 years ago

The internet is like Pandora's box. The money flows wherever the customer decides to go. Fortunes trade hands over-night. It's an exciting time!

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Claude Whitacre

11 years ago

Originally Posted by TLTheLiberator

1: Newspapers

2: Telephone Utilities

3: Stockbrokers

4: Record Companies

5: Bookstores

6: Travel Agencies

7: Big Box Retailers

Who's next?

The horse and buggy
The telegraph
The pony express
Buggy whips
Dirigibles
Whale oil lamps
Bleeding people as a way to treat disease
Shipping slaves

What will we do when those industries go away? How will we survive?

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seasoned

11 years ago

Originally Posted by Claude Whitacre

The horse and buggy
The telegraph
The pony express
Buggy whips
Dirigibles
Whale oil lamps
Bleeding people as a way to treat disease
Shipping slaves

What will we do when those industries go away? How will we survive?

NOT the same thing AT ALL! Let's look at that list again:

1: Newspapers <-Newspapers is only ONE part of the industry really, There is also books, magazines, and various other media, INCLUDING the internet!
2: Telephone Utilities <-MISNOMER! The ONE asset has ALWAYS been a fractionalized TRUNK! In the past, it was used for Telegraph. That is why the first such monopoly, in the US, was American Telephone and Telegraph, aka AT&T! TODAY, it includes INTERNET!
3: Stockbrokers <- Technically kind of created in 1933. They are still around.
4: Record Companies <- The whole industry is still there.
5: Bookstores <- Today, they are almost like amazon. They spread from books to most printed media, music, film, and even a restaurant.
6: Travel Agencies <- They kind of wrote their own death warrant. There is no real replacement for a good travel agent. But GOOD LUCK FINDING ONE! They thought agent meant salesperson, and the whole concept eroded.
7: Big Box Retailers <- Yeah, you still need them. Look at amazon. They have one day shipping, and are trying to build more warehouses just to APPROXIMATE what the BBR HAD!

As for the others?

The telegraph ->Telephone, Internet
The pony express ->Mail, various curriers
Buggy whips -> Did anyone EVER just make buggy whips?
Dirigibles -> Airplanes/Jets
Whale oil lamps -> Did ANYONE ever just make these? Electricity/Gas!
Bleeding people as a way to treat disease -> They are STILL around, they just don't do this anymore! Barber's pole - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Shipping slaves -> outsourcing, Computers/robots

But it HAS happened to computers a lot. SAME idea but different platforms, priorities, and methods.

Steve

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Cali16

11 years ago

Originally Posted by Claude Whitacre

The horse and buggy
The telegraph
The pony express
Buggy whips
Dirigibles
Whale oil lamps
Bleeding people as a way to treat disease
Shipping slaves

What will we do when those industries go away? How will we survive?

Well, I always knew something was off. But this explains it - you've been stuck in a time warp, Claude!!

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Kurt 11 years ago

Originally Posted by lanfear63

You could always take some Sani Wipes with you.

Originally Posted by lanfear63

Kurt, You Should take some Sani Wipes with you

Is there an echo in here? here? here?
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Alexa Smith Banned 11 years ago

Originally Posted by Claude Whitacre

Bleeding people as a way to treat disease

Don't look now, but they still do that, for some patients (hemochromatosis, I believe). And talking of Dyson (and who isn't, these days?) there was a big article about his properties and landowning, in the Sunday Times the other day: it seems he now owns more of the UK countryside and farmland than the Queen (and she's not exactly short of acreage).

.
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Rod Cortez

11 years ago

Search Engines.

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Jack Gordon

11 years ago

I hate to say it, but I think movie theatres are coming up on that list.

I spent 16 years of my life in the marketing side of that industry, defending it from everyone else's predictions of doom (from video, and then dvd competition primarily)

The main defense was that movies at the theatre were not competing with other movies, but with other forms of entertainment (concerts, night clubs, plays, etc). And by that measure, it was always a good value.

But now, when a family of four can easily drop $75 on the "going to the movies" experience vs. any of the free (or nearly free) movie options on the 70" surround sound wide screen in their living room...

I hear the clock ticking.

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Claude Whitacre

11 years ago

Originally Posted by Jack Gordon

I hear the clock ticking.

But not for long. Digital clocks.

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Claude Whitacre

11 years ago

I own a small retail store selling higher priced vacuum cleaners.

The store's days are numbered. Our business is strong, but....

We almost never have a customer under the age of 40. Most are either retired or nearly....or Amish.

More people are shopping online. Getting reviews online.

In 10 years, most everyone in this business will be retired.

But so? If it were suddenly against the law to sell vacuum cleaners at retail, I'd sell shoes. If that went away, I'd open a small school. If not that....something else.

I could always just find something made in China, that can be sold for a decent profit, and wholesale it here...and sell it at retail online.

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lanfear63

11 years ago

Originally Posted by Claude Whitacre

I own a small retail store selling higher priced vacuum cleaners.

The store's days are numbered. Our business is strong, but....

We almost never have a customer under the age of 40. Most are either retired or nearly....or Amish.

More people are shopping online. Getting reviews online.

In 10 years, most everyone in this business will be retired.

But so? If it were suddenly against the law to sell vacuum cleaners at retail, I'd sell shoes. If that went away, I'd open a small school. If not that....something else.

I could always just find something made in China, that can be sold for a decent profit, and wholesale it here...and sell it at retail online.

It should be against the law to sell vacuum cleaners at your prices.

Oh, and just because Riffle bought one from you, you think it's ok to include the Amish in you clientele.

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Claude Whitacre

11 years ago

Originally Posted by lanfear63

It should be against the law to sell vacuum cleaners at your prices.

Oh, and just because Riffle bought one from you, you think it's ok to include the Amish in you clientele.

Riffle actually looks Amish. A short stocky guy with a goatee....who spends a lot of time with farm animals. So, the most impressive thing I've seen him do...is drive a car.

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lanfear63

11 years ago

Originally Posted by Claude Whitacre

Riffle actually looks Amish. A short stocky guy with a goatee....who spends a lot of time with farm animals. So, the most impressive thing I've seen him do...is drive a car.

And the most disturbing thing is the spending a lot of time with farm animals.

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BigFrank Banned 11 years ago

Originally Posted by Claude Whitacre

I could always just find something made in China, that can be sold for a decent profit, and wholesale it here...and sell it at retail online.

If Dyson can sell his crap at Rolls-Royce prices, you should be OK selling a 'quality' product at a higher than junk price for a good while longer. It's all in the marketing. You just need to make vacuuming sexy!

I have the utmost confidence that you'll survive. :-)

Cheers. - Frank
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David Beroff

11 years ago

Originally Posted by Claude Whitacre

Most are either retired or nearly....or Amish.

Honest question, Claude: Doesn't that go against their beliefs?

(I know that they're ok with using "necessary" technology for purposes of earning a living, but not for their own home life.)

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BigFrank Banned 11 years ago

"Cops anonymously told the New York Post that they aren't making arrests for minor crimes because they fear for their safety following the murders of two NYPD officers."

Time to turn in their badge and service revolver and to learn the phrase, "Would you like fries with that."

Cheers. - Frank
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Claude Whitacre

11 years ago

Originally Posted by David Beroff

Honest question, Claude: Doesn't that go against their beliefs?

(I know that they're ok with using "necessary" technology for purposes of earning a living, but not for their own home life.)

They have generators. No idea why that's OK, and having electricity is not OK. All I know is, they buy vacuum cleaners.

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David Beroff 11 years ago

Originally Posted by Claude Whitacre

They have generators. No idea why that's OK, and having electricity is not OK. All I know is, they buy vacuum cleaners.

"Weird" Al Yankovic - Amish Paradise -...
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Jack Gordon 11 years ago

Originally Posted by Claude Whitacre

But not for long. Digital clocks.

ha ha - I walked right into that one.
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Midnight Oil 11 years ago

Originally Posted by Jack Gordon

I hate to say it, but I think movie theatres are coming up on that list.

I had the same thought today while reading the following article.

2014 Box Office: Admissions Lowest Since 1995

The last time I went to a movie theater was to see Spider-Man in 2002. It irritates me to pay such high ticket prices and having to deal with crowds, people yakking and cellphones going off nonstop. I can enjoy a movie much more on the couch at home and save some money.
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travlinguy

11 years ago

Restraint
Common Sense
Compassion
Decency
Intelligence
Insight
Virtue
Gratitude
Humility
Integrity
etc.

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Midnight Oil 11 years ago

Originally Posted by travlinguy

Restraint
Common Sense
Compassion
Decency
Intelligence
Insight
Virtue
Gratitude
Humility
Integrity
etc.

So, pretty much society?

I can see that.
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- travlinguy 11 years ago
  
  Originally Posted by Midnight Oil
  
  So, pretty much society?
  
  I can see that.
  
  Well, they're not quite dead but a few of them are on life support.
  
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Cam Connor 11 years ago

Originally Posted by travlinguy

Restraint
Common Sense
Compassion
Decency
Intelligence
Insight
Virtue
Gratitude
Humility
Integrity
etc.

Don't worry, I think some of the younger generations will make it a point to bring some of those things back... by any means necessary.
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garyv

11 years ago

Minion says "Whaaat?!" - YouTube

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Rod Cortez

11 years ago

Smart phones.

Just wondering what the next "device" is going to be that will replace these.

RoD

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LarryC

11 years ago

The future of vacuums and other types of cleaning may be robots. Haven't tried this, but it looks pretty cool:

iRobot RoombaÂ® 700 Series Vacuum Cleaning Robots...

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Kurt

11 years ago

Self driving cars will transform many elements of the economy.

The need for cab, bus and limo drivers will be greatly reduced or eliminated.

DUIs will be virtually non-existent, which will impact our health and legal systems, as well as end the need for DUI lawyers.

Since we won't need to own a car 24 hours a day and can "share" a car with many others, demand for car production will dramatically decrease.

Since people can "share" cars, there will be far less need for garages, drive ways and parking lots. Many streets and highways will be able to use fewer lanes. This land will be transformed into other uses.

The auto insurance industry will be totally transformed, with little need for consumer auto insurance.

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Dan Riffle

11 years ago

Originally Posted by Kurt

Since we won't need to own a car 24 hours a day and can "share" a car with many others, demand for car production will dramatically decrease.

I'm not wrapping my brain around this statement. Would you mind expanding on that, Kurt?

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Kurt

11 years ago

Originally Posted by Dan Riffle

I'm not wrapping my brain around this statement. Would you mind expanding on that, Kurt?

You don't need to have a car parked at your home or at work 100% of the time. You will be able to click an app and a car will be dispatched to you when you need one, or you can make an appointment, etc.

When someone's at work, their car is sitting in a parking lot for 8 hours. With self driving cars, they would be dropped off at work and that same car could then take a little old lady to a doctor's appointment a few minutes later, etc., instead of simply being parked and only used by a single person.

Think of a self driving taxi without a cab driver.

Society will need to adjust to spread out periods of peak demand, but we should be doing that anyway as a way to reduce traffic congestion and air pollution. As a long time cab driver I can tell you that the same streets that are totally grid-locked at 5 pm are barren at 10 pm. We have enough roads, we just can't use them at the same time.

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Claude Whitacre

11 years ago

Originally Posted by Kurt

You don't need to have a car parked at your home or at work 100% of the time. You will be able to click an app and a car will be dispatched to you when you need one, or you can make an appointment, etc.

One of the most forward thinking posts I've read in a long time. Kiss me.

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lanfear63 11 years ago

Originally Posted by Claude Whitacre

One of the most forward thinking posts I've read in a long time. Kiss me.

Kurt, You Should take some Sani Wipes with you
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Kurt

11 years ago

Originally Posted by Claude Whitacre

One of the most forward thinking posts I've read in a long time. Kiss me.

For the very first time in my life I wish I had herpes...

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lanfear63

11 years ago

Originally Posted by Kurt

For the very first time in my life I wish I had herpes...

Ok, just leave the Sani Wipes behind.

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Joe Mobley

11 years ago

It Won't Happen To Us...

Law and Order

Cops anonymously told the New York Post that they aren't making arrests for minor crimes because they fear for their safety following the murders of two NYPD officers.

"I'm not writing any summonses. Do you think I'm going to stand there so someone can shoot me or hit me in the head with an ax?" a cop, who was granted anonymity by the Post, said. "I'm concerned about my safety. I want to go to home to my wife and kids."

To back up these assertions, the Post reports in a separate story that arrests have nose-dived by 66 percent over the last week, fueled by huge drops in arrests for minor offenses. That percentage is based on a comparison between last week starting Dec. 22 and the same week in 2013.

Police Reportedly Say They Aren't Making Arrests After Cop Killings

Joe Mobley

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Joe Mobley 11 years ago

I kissed my girlfriend on the lips,

I wish that I might linger...

I ran hand through her hair

And a cootie bit me on the finger.

Originally Posted by Kurt

For the very first time in my life I wish I had herpes...

Joe Mobley
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Joe Mobley 11 years ago

...

...

...

I'm still laughing, this is hilarious.

Joe Mobley

Originally Posted by Kurt

For the very first time in my life I wish I had herpes...
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Claude Whitacre 11 years ago

Originally Posted by Kurt

For the very first time in my life I wish I had herpes...

I'll see what I can do.
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lanfear63 11 years ago

Originally Posted by Dan Riffle

I'm not wrapping my brain around this statement. Would you mind expanding on that, Kurt?

You could always take some Sani Wipes with you.
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HeySal

11 years ago

Guess we just have to get some integrity going again and stop mass agriculture and put all those small farmers we used to have back to work. The need for decent, unpoisoned food never goes away.

As far as industry - we were never set up for an economy of 100% employment - and now that we're 2/3 over carrying capacity, the only way to solve the problem is to decrease the population back to a carrying capacity level. Yet people scream like banshies whenever anyone suggests to limit family size.....especially if it deals with not allowing people on welfare to drop 6 or more babies on an already stressed population level so they don't need to work to survive.

Until people figure out they can not support industries that contribute to problems (factory farms, etc) or have as many kids as they want just because they are "free" to do so because it makes more problems than solves them --- we can just sit here and watch everything go under. Then all the hardship population will just die off anyway. Nature doesn't kid around. We either get serious and solve the population crisis or nature will solve it for us - then we can go back to normal industry instead of the conglomerate ownership of human life and the evolution toward extinction.

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Cam Connor

11 years ago

Originally Posted by HeySal

Until people figure out they can not support industries that contribute to problems (factory farms, etc) or have as many kids as they want just because they are "free" to do so because it makes more problems than solves them --- we can just sit here and watch everything go under. Then all the hardship population will just die off anyway. Nature doesn't kid around. We either get serious and solve the population crisis or nature will solve it for us - then we can go back to normal industry instead of the conglomerate ownership of human life and the evolution toward extinction.

Wow. What an excellent post HeySal, well done.

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thunderbird

11 years ago

Website creation and design
Internet marketing
video production and editing

(I'm just messing with you...sort of)

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Project HERE.

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