40 Years Of U.S. Workers Left Behind?? (CHART)

58 replies
  • OFF TOPIC
  • |
A while ago I suspected that American workers have not been paid according to their productivity over the years and then I ran into this chart.



Notice when the lines on the chart begin to diverge?





For more and a story...

Why Income Inequality Matters | TPMDC
  • Profile picture of the author Michael Wood
    I wounder what that chart will look like 5yrs from now.
    Signature

    Read the forum rules.

    {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6456943].message }}
    • Profile picture of the author Kay King
      It's a disturbing trend - maybe.

      If the increase in productivity is due to company's investing in more efficient equipment and processes, the increase is not due to employees.

      Many of the details employees used to do are not done by computer or by newly developed machines. The results is a higher level of productivity while the work level remains much the same for employees.

      In my part time job the company added automatic shufflers to gaming tables. It speeds up the game and makes the game more productive financially by increasing the number of hands dealt per hour. My "productivity" goes up but not through my own improved work - it's due to the technology added.

      If you notice the lines began to separate widely at the time computers were coming into common use. I don't think that is coincidental.

      Workers deserve compensation for improved production - IF they are the cause of the rise in production levels. Not sure that's the case here.
      Signature
      Saving one dog will not change the world - but the world changes forever for that one dog
      ***
      One secret to happiness is to let every situation be
      what it is instead of what you think it should be.
      {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6457038].message }}
      • Profile picture of the author TLTheLiberator
        Originally Posted by Kay King View Post

        It's a disturbing trend - maybe.

        If the increase in productivity is due to company's investing in more efficient equipment and processes, the increase is not due to employees.

        Many of the details employees used to do are not done by computer or by newly developed machines. The results is a higher level of productivity while the work level remains much the same for employees.

        In my part time job the company added automatic shufflers to gaming tables. It speeds up the game and makes the game more productive financially by increasing the number of hands dealt per hour. My "productivity" goes up but not through my own improved work - it's due to the technology added.

        If you notice the lines began to separate widely at the time computers were coming into common use. I don't think that is coincidental.

        Workers deserve compensation for improved production - IF they are the cause of the rise in production levels. Not sure that's the case here.

        Great points Kay, that's why I changed the title from a statement to a question.

        But I have a feeling that "wage theft" is a part of the equation. How big I don't know.



        TL
        Signature

        "It's easier to fool people than to convince them that they have been fooled. -- Mark Twain

        {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6457471].message }}
      • Profile picture of the author Kurt
        Originally Posted by Kay King View Post

        It's a disturbing trend - maybe.

        If the increase in productivity is due to company's investing in more efficient equipment and processes, the increase is not due to employees.

        Many of the details employees used to do are not done by computer or by newly developed machines. The results is a higher level of productivity while the work level remains much the same for employees.

        In my part time job the company added automatic shufflers to gaming tables. It speeds up the game and makes the game more productive financially by increasing the number of hands dealt per hour. My "productivity" goes up but not through my own improved work - it's due to the technology added.

        If you notice the lines began to separate widely at the time computers were coming into common use. I don't think that is coincidental.

        Workers deserve compensation for improved production - IF they are the cause of the rise in production levels. Not sure that's the case here.
        Workers "deserve" to keep up with inflation. If a company is making more money, then workers should be too. Now we need a chart to show the CEO pay scale over the same time period.

        BTW, auto card shufflers not only speed up the game, but they also were brought in to ruin "shuffle tracking". I like them because they take any dealers that are "mechanics" out of play.

        People think that dealers have to have extensive slight of hand ability to rig a blackjack or poker game. In reality, all they have to do is look for a clump of high cards and (for blackjack) make sure the player cuts the deck so the cards are brought to the bottom. This is the same principle as card counting uses and takes high cards out of play, which favors the house.

        And since people are creatures of habit, all a dealer needs to do is watch where a player cuts the deck...He/she will likely cut it in the same place each time.

        This is why players should never cut the deck the same way each time...Sometimes "thin", sometimes "thick" and sometimes in the middle. (The auto dealers take care of this)
        Signature
        Discover the fastest and easiest ways to create your own valuable products.
        Tons of FREE Public Domain content you can use to make your own content, PLR, digital and POD products.
        {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6458796].message }}
        • Profile picture of the author HeySal
          Originally Posted by Kurt View Post

          Workers "deserve" to keep up with inflation. If a company is making more money, then workers should be too. Now we need a chart to show the CEO pay scale over the same time period.
          Exactly. The cost of living keeps going up and wages have stayed the same, and in some cases even dropped as the cost of living climbs. The added productivity is going into upper level pockets, not the workers.

          America has recovered before several times - but unless the merger of industry, banks, and government is broken, Amerika, will not. Not with majority of it's citizens alive and in decent shape anyway.
          Signature

          Sal
          When the Roads and Paths end, learn to guide yourself through the wilderness
          Beyond the Path

          {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6459455].message }}
    • Profile picture of the author KimW
      Originally Posted by Michael Wood View Post

      I wounder what that chart will look like 5yrs from now.
      We will have to ask all the overseas companys because that's where the jobs will be.
      Signature

      Read A Post.
      Subscribe to a Newsletter
      KimWinfrey.Com

      {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6457474].message }}
  • Profile picture of the author KimW
    Kay,
    You don't give yourself enough credit.
    If I'm playing a game,its the personality of the dealer that keeps me at the table, not how fast the cards/hands are being played.
    Signature

    Read A Post.
    Subscribe to a Newsletter
    KimWinfrey.Com

    {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6457493].message }}
  • Profile picture of the author Halcyon
    I too would love to stick it to "the man" for screwing the little guy but there are just too many factors involved in gauging productivity.

    Analyst just love to throw statistics around without fully disclosing all of the variables. It makes for good water cooler conversation but I don't think this one is totally "the man's" fault.

    As Kay mentioned, technology has definitely impacted worker productivity. The world is moving fast and those who don't adjust fast enough are being left behind. It's not fair but it's a fact.

    Where it used to take a typing pool of 20 typists to run an office, now 3 temp workers and an installed copy of Word can get it done.
    {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6457510].message }}
  • Profile picture of the author garyv
    That's a scary looking chart if you have a job that involves producing a product. However those physical labor jobs are dwindling with the advancement of computers and robots.

    From a technology standpoint, that's a beautiful chart. Because it shows that our technology is helping us to be more productive at a lower cost. Which is basically the whole point of introducing technology into the workforce in the first place.

    I think we need to get out of our old labor workforce mentality of finding a way to survive through physically laboring jobs. And open our minds to new ways of generating income and finding ways to survive.

    It's inevitable that labor jobs are going to decrease. The cost of technology has never increased, so eventually employing a labor force will become cost prohibitive.
    {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6457783].message }}
    • Profile picture of the author Joe Mobley
      Originally Posted by garyv View Post

      I think we need to get out of our old labor workforce mentality of finding a way to survive through physically laboring jobs. And open our minds to new ways of generating income and finding ways to survive.
      Well hello! Maybe the trick is not to be an hourly employee.

      I'm just saying...

      Joe Mobley
      Signature

      .

      Follow Me on Twitter: @daVinciJoe
      {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6457866].message }}
      • Profile picture of the author Kay King
        There is nothing wrong with hourly employment - some of the best paid (and most secure) workers are those doing that "physical labor" that IMers abhor.
        Signature
        Saving one dog will not change the world - but the world changes forever for that one dog
        ***
        One secret to happiness is to let every situation be
        what it is instead of what you think it should be.
        {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6458346].message }}
  • Profile picture of the author bailbondsguys
    This is definitely an interesting trend chart but more data is required to make accurate conclusions. Divisions by industry would be a good chart to see so you could tell specifically which sectors are suffering the most from these kinds of trends. Most likely these are primarily effecting manufacturing and possibly agriculture sectors.
    {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6458360].message }}
  • Profile picture of the author Dennis Gaskill
    Whenever I see charts like that I have to wonder what the motive behind it is. There's often more to the story than you can see in the chart. Data can be manipulated to promote idea any you want, you just have to know what to include and what to leave out. Without knowing that, it's hard to know how much meaning to attach to the chart.
    Signature

    Just when you think you've got it all figured out, someone changes the rules.

    {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6458395].message }}
  • Profile picture of the author Lori Kelly
    Kurt, please don't show a chart that displays CEO pay. Especially if it's a comparison to the employees' pay. (I just ate lunch.)

    There was a time where companies that were making huge profits passed it along to the people who made it possible. Although that theory is rare today, it happens but not enough.
    Signature
    Learn Website Tips, How to Do Keyword Research, & How to Write Killer Content.
    Stop Wasting Time.
    Start Living Your Dream.
    Click Here NOW to Get Your Hands on
    One of the Most Valuable Ebooks Ever!

    {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6458917].message }}
  • Profile picture of the author Offline Doctor
    I saw an even better chart on Bloomberg about a month ago. Basically it showed that since 1971 wages have flat-lined while the cost of living has escalated.

    That was one of the reasons so many people borrowed against their homes in the last ten years. They were unable to live on their paycheck alone.

    The US, Canada, and Germany are toast. GDP will be less than 3% forever. The BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India, and China) are the new United States. China is the new SuperPower. People in the US don't realize the game is over.

    I predict regardless of who wins the next Presidency that 2013, 2014, and 2015 will be some of the worst times the US has ever experienced. This is not doom and gloom but the stark reality of the situation.

    The US and the EU have continued to kick the can down the road for many decades, now the money has run out. As Maggie Thatcher correctly stated, "eventually you run out of other peoples money."

    Originally Posted by TLTheLiberator View Post

    A while ago I suspected that American workers have not been paid according to their productivity over the years and then I ran into this chart.



    Notice when the lines on the chart begin to diverge?





    For more and a story...

    Why Income Inequality Matters | TPMDC
    {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6458981].message }}
    • Profile picture of the author TLTheLiberator
      Originally Posted by Offline Doctor View Post

      I saw an even better chart on Bloomberg about a month ago. Basically it showed that since 1971 wages have flat-lined while the cost of living has escalated.

      That was one of the reasons so many people borrowed against their homes in the last ten years. They were unable to live on their paycheck alone.

      The US, Canada, and Germany are toast. GDP will be less than 3% forever. The BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India, and China) are the new United States. China is the new SuperPower. People in the US don't realize the game is over.

      I predict regardless of who wins the next Presidency that 2013, 2014, and 2015 will be some of the worst times the US has ever experienced. This is not doom and gloom but the stark reality of the situation.

      The US and the EU have continued to kick the can down the road for many decades, now the money has run out. As Maggie Thatcher correctly stated, "eventually you run out of other peoples money."
      Lots of people also borrowed against their homes because they could - but they didn't have to.

      I'm continually surprised by some folks believing it's over for the good ole USA when it's clearly very early in the recovery process - that's also a reality.

      This nation has bounced back on so many occasions it's hard to imagine us being knocked out for good as some folks have opined.

      IMHO our biggest problem is a political one since we still have all the resources we need to work our way out of this mess and return to our former glory.

      It think it's a strategic blunder to write us off so early in the recovery process.

      All The Best!!

      TL
      Signature

      "It's easier to fool people than to convince them that they have been fooled. -- Mark Twain

      {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6459321].message }}
      • Profile picture of the author Offline Doctor
        Anyone who has a deep understanding of economics and politics knows the US has it's run, it's over.

        This is why we need to adapt at what's really happening and not keep our head in the sand.


        Originally Posted by TLTheLiberator View Post

        Lots of people also borrowed against their homes because they could - but they didn't have to.

        I'm continually surprised by some folks believing it's over for the good ole USA when it's clearly very early in the recovery process - that's also a reality.

        This nation has bounced back on so many occasions it's hard to imagine us being knocked out for good as some folks have opined.

        IMHO our biggest problem is a political one since we still have all the resources we need to work our way out of this mess and return to our former glory.

        It think it's a strategic blunder to write us off so early in the recovery process.

        All The Best!!

        TL
        {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6459379].message }}
        • Profile picture of the author TimPhelan
          Ridiculous. Anyone who thinks China is going to keep growing at 10% has their head in the sand. They will have big problems in the near future. I remember when Americans were worried about Japan doing so well and buying too much real estate in the US.

          As long as the conservatives aren't in control the US has a fighting chance to stay on top.

          Originally Posted by Offline Doctor View Post

          Anyone who has a deep understanding of economics and politics knows the US has it's run, it's over.

          This is why we need to adapt at what's really happening and not keep our head in the sand.
          Signature
          {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6461812].message }}
          • {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6461832].message }}
          • Profile picture of the author Michael Ellis
            Originally Posted by TimPhelan View Post

            As long as the conservatives aren't in control the US has a fighting chance to stay on top.
            It utterly amazes me that you still believe this...
            {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6463656].message }}
            • Profile picture of the author ThomM
              Originally Posted by Michael Ellis View Post

              It utterly amazes me that you still believe this...
              How you doing Mike, haven't seen you here in the dungeon in a long while.
              Signature

              Life: Nature's way of keeping meat fresh
              Getting old ain't for sissy's
              As you are I was, as I am you will be
              You can't fix stupid, but you can always out smart it.

              {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6463670].message }}
            • Profile picture of the author TimPhelan
              Thanks Michael, but me thinks you are too easily impressed.

              Originally Posted by Michael Ellis View Post

              It utterly amazes me that you still believe this...
              Signature
              {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6464222].message }}
              • Profile picture of the author Michael Ellis
                Originally Posted by TimPhelan View Post

                Thanks Michael, but me thinks you are too easily impressed.
                Yes, I have been guilty of that from time to time.
                {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6464267].message }}
            • Profile picture of the author Kurt
              Originally Posted by Michael Ellis View Post

              It utterly amazes me that you still believe this...
              And it amazes me that people still believe in the utter failure of voodoo economics, AKA supply side economics.

              You folks forget we're all business people too here in IM. I dare you to write a supply side WSO. Go ahead I double dare you.

              It will go something like this:

              Forget about demand and potential buyers. Wait until taxes are low enough and the the deficit is being paid off. Also, wait until legislation and restrictions have eased. Then create a website and you'll make money.

              Put your money where your mouth is and tell folks here that they should forget about finding niches with BUYERS and wait for better times before investesting their time and money in an Internet business.

              The truth is, there's not a single supply side marketing plan ever promoted here or anywhere else. EVER.

              It's just a con job to make the rich richer. If it wasn't so destructive it would be hilarious.

              Signature
              Discover the fastest and easiest ways to create your own valuable products.
              Tons of FREE Public Domain content you can use to make your own content, PLR, digital and POD products.
              {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6465362].message }}
        • Profile picture of the author KimW
          Originally Posted by TLTheLiberator View Post

          Lots of people also borrowed against their homes because they could - but they didn't have to.

          I'm continually surprised by some folks believing it's over for the good ole USA when it's clearly very early in the recovery process - that's also a reality.

          This nation has bounced back on so many occasions it's hard to imagine us being knocked out for good as some folks have opined.

          IMHO our biggest problem is a political one since we still have all the resources we need to work our way out of this mess and return to our former glory.

          It think it's a strategic blunder to write us off so early in the recovery process.

          All The Best!!

          TL
          The recovery is early in the process? That may be true to the extent it just isn't happening! How long should it take? Fifty,100 years? Our country has been going down the drain for a few decades now.

          Originally Posted by Offline Doctor View Post

          Anyone who has a deep understanding of economics and politics knows the US has it's run, it's over.

          This is why we need to adapt at what's really happening and not keep our head in the sand.
          While I can't agree with TL about the recovery,I also can't agree about the US run being over. This can be the great country it once was,but people need to start standing up for their rights and get things back the way they are suppose to be. Get the corrupt politicians out of office ( and yes,it CAN be done) ,demand adherence to the constitution, star recalls at the grass roots level.
          I,and numerous others right here on this board,do not have our head in the sand, but certainly can understand what you are saying.
          Signature

          Read A Post.
          Subscribe to a Newsletter
          KimWinfrey.Com

          {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6465816].message }}
    • Profile picture of the author Dennis Gaskill
      Originally Posted by Offline Doctor View Post

      People in the US don't realize the game is over.
      To paraphrase Mark Twain: "The reports of the demise of the United States are greatly exaggerated."

      While I understand the thinking behind that comment, down does not mean out. We can still choose our destiny. Americans have proven again and again we are capable of great things.
      Signature

      Just when you think you've got it all figured out, someone changes the rules.

      {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6459394].message }}
      • Profile picture of the author Offline Doctor
        We didn't have a Global economy decades ago. We didn't have so much DEBT that over 30% of our Federal taxes go to cover the interest on our debt to China.

        China and Japan own our ass, period. Money managers are no longer investing in the US like before. They are shifting their investments to the BRIC countries.

        It's over folks, study history and you might learn from the past. England used to rule the world in the 19th Century, then it was our (US) turn in the 20th century, now it's China.

        You either adapt or go down with the ship. We can not choose our destiny, it has already been determined. Just as Rome fell, so will the US. It won't happen overnight, but watch how we fall over the next 20 years. That's not a long time folks.

        In 2030 China will be THE superpower.

        Originally Posted by Dennis Gaskill View Post

        To paraphrase Mark Twain: "The reports of the demise of the United States are greatly exaggerated."

        While I understand the thinking behind that comment, down does not mean out. We can still choose our destiny. Americans have proven again and again we capable of great things.
        {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6459536].message }}
        • Profile picture of the author Joe Mobley
          Originally Posted by Offline Doctor View Post

          That was one of the reasons so many people borrowed against their homes in the last ten years. They were unable to live on their paycheck alone.

          The US, Canada, and Germany are toast. GDP will be less than 3% forever. The BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India, and China) are the new United States. China is the new SuperPower. People in the US don't realize the game is over.

          I predict regardless of who wins the next Presidency that 2013, 2014, and 2015 will be some of the worst times the US has ever experienced. This is not doom and gloom but the stark reality of the situation.

          The US and the EU have continued to kick the can down the road for many decades, now the money has run out. As Maggie Thatcher correctly stated, "eventually you run out of other peoples money."
          Yep!


          Originally Posted by Offline Doctor View Post

          Anyone who has a deep understanding of economics and politics knows the US has it's run, it's over.
          Yep!

          Originally Posted by Offline Doctor View Post

          China and Japan own our ass, period. Money managers are no longer investing in the US like before. They are shifting their investments to the BRIC countries.

          It's over folks, study history and you might learn from the past. England used to rule the world in the 19th Century, then it was our (US) turn in the 20th century, now it's China.

          You either adapt or go down with the ship. We can not choose our destiny, it has already been determined. Just as Rome fell, so will the US. It won't happen overnight, but watch how we fall over the next 20 years. That's not a long time folks.

          In 2030 China will be THE superpower.

          You either adapt or go down with the ship.


          Adapt =
          US ---> Somewhere else.

          In 2030 China will be THE superpower.
          I believe before then.


          Joe Mobley
          Signature

          .

          Follow Me on Twitter: @daVinciJoe
          {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6459678].message }}
          • Profile picture of the author Offline Doctor
            I hate when people agree with me. It confirms the worst. I'm an optimist, but we have huge freakin problems. Our #1 problem is the mindset of our Politicians (both sides of the isle).

            Everyone keeps kicking the can down the road, no one wants to make the drastic changes that are necessary. I think our last chance was Ross Perot, he would have cleaned house.

            That's why this whole EU (European Union) crap keeps lingering for the last few years. No one wants to tell the people what is really necessary to survive.

            Greece only has 10 Million people (smaller than NY, LA, Chicago, etc...) yet they have so much debt.

            The real problem is Spain and Italy, if they go, watch out.
            {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6459730].message }}
            • Profile picture of the author Joe Mobley
              Sorry about that. :rolleyes:

              You are correct though, the US is done financially. It's okay to be an optimist in the face of reality. It's being in denial in the face of reality that is going to cause a lot of problems for people.

              The question, at least for me is what can I do that is best for me and my family going forward? Unfortunately, I can not see where the United States is a positive contributor to that question.

              Joe Mobley

              Originally Posted by Offline Doctor View Post

              I hate when people agree with me. It confirms the worst. I'm an optimist, but we have huge freakin problems. Our #1 problem is the mindset of our Politicians (both sides of the isle).

              Everyone keeps kicking the can down the road, no one wants to make the drastic changes that are necessary. I think our last chance was Ross Perot, he would have cleaned house.

              That's why this whole EU (European Union) crap keeps lingering for the last few years. No one wants to tell the people what is really necessary to survive.

              Greece only has 10 Million people (smaller than NY, LA, Chicago, etc...) yet they have so much debt.

              The real problem is Spain and Italy, if they go, watch out.
              Signature

              .

              Follow Me on Twitter: @daVinciJoe
              {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6459818].message }}
        • Profile picture of the author Dennis Gaskill
          Originally Posted by Offline Doctor View Post

          We didn't have a Global economy decades ago. We didn't have so much DEBT that over 30% of our Federal taxes go to cover the interest on our debt to China.

          China and Japan own our ass, period. Money managers are no longer investing in the US like before. They are shifting their investments to the BRIC countries.

          It's over folks, study history and you might learn from the past. England used to rule the world in the 19th Century, then it was our (US) turn in the 20th century, now it's China.

          You either adapt or go down with the ship. We can not choose our destiny, it has already been determined. Just as Rome fell, so will the US. It won't happen overnight, but watch how we fall over the next 20 years. That's not a long time folks.

          In 2030 China will be THE superpower.
          If nothing changes you could be right. I don't think it's a given that nothing changes, though.
          Signature

          Just when you think you've got it all figured out, someone changes the rules.

          {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6460199].message }}
          • Profile picture of the author Offline Doctor
            Originally Posted by Dennis Gaskill View Post

            If nothing changes you could be right.

            I don't think it's a given that nothing changes, though.
            Does anyone honestly believe that Politicians will change their ways? Just take a look at Europe.

            Politics are based upon Ideology, O'Bama thinks like a Liberal and Romney thinks like a Conservative. Ain't gonna change my friend.

            Even if, and that's a big if, all these politicians decided to hold a peace conference, do you really think we can put all of our debt behind us?

            We are so far in debt it will never be paid off. Politicians are cowards. The average lifespan of a politician is 7 years, they want to make the most of it and get their pork barrel projects for all their buddies.

            Europe is 10x worse for Politicians, most are ideological liberals who believe everyone should be a millionaire, work 20 hours per week, retire at 45, and live happily ever after.

            As Maggie Thatcher correctly stated, "eventually you run out of other peoples money." That my friend is exactly why the entire world is in this mess.

            There is no answer to this mess. I'm a very smart guy, know economics, understand politics, and I am a successful businessman. The problems throughout the EU and the US are freakin overwhelming.

            That's why no one has done anything to correct this situation. The politicians continue to put band-aid approaches to this to keep kicking the can down the road.

            The world has massive problems than can not be fixed. You will see more rioting, more occupy type wall street crowds, and people marching in the streets.

            2013 and 2014 are going to be the depth of this crisis and it won't be pretty.

            Get prepared, because people will soon be looking back saying "do you remember the good ole days, like 2011 and 2012!"
            {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6460267].message }}
            • Profile picture of the author Dennis Gaskill
              Originally Posted by Offline Doctor View Post

              I'm a very smart guy, know economics, understand politics, and I am a successful businessman.
              Does that mean you can't be wrong?
              Signature

              Just when you think you've got it all figured out, someone changes the rules.

              {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6460475].message }}
              • Profile picture of the author Offline Doctor
                Unfortunately, that would be correct. I truly wish there was some hope. I'm a conservative (as if you didn't know) and even if Romney get's in he will face the same crisis, the same politicians and lobbyist and the same debt.

                People don't realize that it takes Years to turn around an economy, sometimes decades. It's funny how I hear these tools on CNBC saying the economy might turn around before the November election. No one can turn around an economy in a few months, it's impossible. It takes 6 months for a President to sign a new act into law after it has passed the Congress and Senate.

                There are so many problems coming in 2013 it's almost hard to fathom. If I'm completely wrong and you take action today you'll be in a far better place in 18 months. Unfortunately myself and many prominent investors don't see good times ahead for the US.

                I hear these clowns saying the Housing situation is at a near bottom, what a joke. I think we can easily fall another 22% nationwide from the levels we are at today.

                After the Great Depression of 1929 housing prices in the US fell 31% over the next four years. It took 24 years (1953) for price levels to come back to what prices were in 1928, 24 freakin years.

                The current housing crisis has fallen 39% (25% worse than 1929) since the peak of 2006. Why would anyone be surprised to see it take 10 -20 years for prices to come back to post 2006 levels?

                Do whatever is necessary to prepare yourself and your family.

                Originally Posted by Dennis Gaskill View Post

                Does that mean you can't be wrong?
                {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6460653].message }}
            • Profile picture of the author HeySal
              Originally Posted by Offline Doctor View Post

              Does anyone honestly believe that Politicians will change their ways? Just take a look at Europe.

              Politics are based upon Ideology, O'Bama thinks like a Liberal and Romney thinks like a Conservative. Ain't gonna change my friend.

              Even if, and that's a big if, all these politicians decided to hold a peace conference, do you really think we can put all of our debt behind us?

              We are so far in debt it will never be paid off. Politicians are cowards. The average lifespan of a politician is 7 years, they want to make the most of it and get their pork barrel projects for all their buddies.

              Europe is 10x worse for Politicians, most are ideological liberals who believe everyone should be a millionaire, work 20 hours per week, retire at 45, and live happily ever after.

              As Maggie Thatcher correctly stated, "eventually you run out of other peoples money." That my friend is exactly why the entire world is in this mess.

              There is no answer to this mess. I'm a very smart guy, know economics, understand politics, and I am a successful businessman. The problems throughout the EU and the US are freakin overwhelming.

              That's why no one has done anything to correct this situation. The politicians continue to put band-aid approaches to this to keep kicking the can down the road.

              The world has massive problems than can not be fixed. You will see more rioting, more occupy type wall street crowds, and people marching in the streets.

              2013 and 2014 are going to be the depth of this crisis and it won't be pretty.

              Get prepared, because people will soon be looking back saying "do you remember the good ole days, like 2011 and 2012!"
              Sure it can be fixed. Close down the FED and jail the leaders of World bank for conspiracy and fraud.

              The debt isn't REAL. The means to create debt free money doesn't exist. The only thing the debt CAN do is grow. They knew that when they installed the fed on us. It's a sham. And it's a sham that is making a very few people powerful enough to control the world -- and just at the time that the human population is over carrying capacity by .5 bil. You're smart. Figure it out.
              Signature

              Sal
              When the Roads and Paths end, learn to guide yourself through the wilderness
              Beyond the Path

              {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6461428].message }}
        • Profile picture of the author Kurt
          Originally Posted by Offline Doctor View Post

          We didn't have a Global economy decades ago. We didn't have so much DEBT that over 30% of our Federal taxes go to cover the interest on our debt to China.

          China and Japan own our ass, period. Money managers are no longer investing in the US like before. They are shifting their investments to the BRIC countries. So history "shows" us that all we need to do is move our capital from DC to Seatle and the US will flourish for the next 1000 years!!! (At least that's what history "tells" us)

          It's over folks, study history and you might learn from the past. England used to rule the world in the 19th Century, then it was our (US) turn in the 20th century, now it's China.

          You either adapt or go down with the ship. We can not choose our destiny, it has already been determined. Just as Rome fell, so will the US. It won't happen overnight, but watch how we fall over the next 20 years. That's not a long time folks.

          In 2030 China will be THE superpower.
          If you're going to study history, I suggest you actually study history. Rome didn't "fall". It moved east to Byzatine and enjoyed another 1000 years of being an Empire.

          Also, a problem with China taking over. Let's assume they catch the US in GNP in 20 years. All that money will be split by 4 times as many people, which means each Chinese will have 1/4 of the money Americans have.

          And while the UK Empire fell, it's not like the Brits have had a bad standard of living and have been starving ever since.

          Part of our problem is alot of jobs are just gone and no politician can bring them back. ATMs have replaced bank tellers and auto-scanners have replaced grocery clerks and similar jobs have been replaced by automation. These jobs simply won't come back.

          For all the doom and gloom...People will just live with relatives, friends and room mates more than we have in the past. And this may not be a bad thing.
          Signature
          Discover the fastest and easiest ways to create your own valuable products.
          Tons of FREE Public Domain content you can use to make your own content, PLR, digital and POD products.
          {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6461768].message }}
  • Profile picture of the author garyv
    Another thing to consider is that products have changed. One of the highest selling products right now is an itunes mp3 - or an iphone app. Even if there was a way to measure productivity when it comes to digitally delivered items, it wouldn't be a part of that chart.
    {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6459802].message }}
  • Profile picture of the author seasoned
    Productivity has NOT increased on a per capita basis in the US. I have been to DOZENS of companies and am appaled by the waste, etc.... We have more people than ever, less production than ever, and more immigrants, illegal and "legal" than ever. I put legal in quotes because they often are here by false pretenses. BTW the largest number are here because of the claim that US citizens CAN NOT do the work. of course, being here, the Americans often DON'T have the chance. But your chart claims THEY are doing it.

    And YEAH, computers took hold in like the 50s, started to skyrocket in the 60s, and took off faster than anyone would believe in the early 70s, when a person stayed late one day to test the circuit that became known as a microprocessor. Computers are now INCREDIBLY CHEAP!!!!!!!!! ALSO, in 1969 an OS was born. It grew gradually in the 70s, and SKYROCKETED in the 80s and 90s when HP, COMPAQ, DEC, IBM, SUN, all adopted it and a guy, disgusted by the high price, eventually decided to make a workalike called linux.

    IMAGINE! Based on MY experience here....

    1. 1985 About $75 a megabyte! YEP FOLKS! 5MB for $375!
    2. 1995 About $1 a megabyte! 1GB for $1000!
    3. 2012 Less than about $0.001 a megabyte! 1TB for about $100, EXTERNAL!

    All prices based on about the lowest cost hard disk drive commonly available.

    IMAGINE! 20 years ago accounting packages, cost about $400 per module, disk space was EXPENSIVE and DIFFICULT, and it was SLOW! Today, it is like $100 for ALL the main modules TOGETHER, CHEAP, EASY, and FAST!

    Steve
    {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6460213].message }}
  • Profile picture of the author garyv
    I can remember there being a very bleak outlook for the United States when I was a young boy waiting in line to get gas with my father. But we managed to find a way to pull our selves up and had a very successful decade after that.

    One thing that I've noticed is that a lot of the economic formulas don't play out the same in countries that have a lot of natural resources. We have a lot of natural resources here in the U.S. It's much harder for our money to fail, because we have resources to continue to barter with. The reason Greece will fail a lot easier than we will, is because Greece is poor when it comes to natural resources.
    {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6460602].message }}
    • Profile picture of the author seasoned
      Originally Posted by garyv View Post

      I can remember there being a very bleak outlook for the United States when I was a young boy waiting in line to get gas with my father. But we managed to find a way to pull our selves up and had a very successful decade after that.

      One thing that I've noticed is that a lot of the economic formulas don't play out the same in countries that have a lot of natural resources. We have a lot of natural resources here in the U.S. It's much harder for our money to fail, because we have resources to continue to barter with. The reason Greece will fail a lot easier than we will, is because Greece is poor when it comes to natural resources.
      FUNNY, I was alive in the 70s with the long lines. We only heard about things like arabs controlling oil, wanting to be our enemies, inflation, a bad economy, etc... There was NO WAY that what is discussed NOW would have been spoken seriously of! We had LOTS of WORKERS, were an agrarian/domestic/techological ***********LEADER***********! The world practically NEEDED us!

      So what is different NOW? We STILL have the arab problem, that is more real than ever! We have inflation ON TOP of that inflation! We have a bad economy. Other than that, EVERYTHNG is different! FEW workers, and many are FOREIGN! We are a leader in perhaps NOTHING! Many companies are DEAD, made obsolete, sold to foreign companies or some such.

      Steve
      {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6460794].message }}
      • Profile picture of the author Offline Doctor
        I clearly remember the '73-'74 oil crisis. You couldn't get gas at any price because the stations were CLOSED!

        When you could get gas you were Limited to 8 gallons. Don't forget cars back then had huge V8 350/396/427 engines that got 10 miles to the gallon so don't travel too far buddy.

        Everyone had to buy this new gadget called "locking gas caps" because your neighbor was siphoning the gas from your car.
        {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6460856].message }}
        • Profile picture of the author seasoned
          Originally Posted by Offline Doctor View Post

          I clearly remember the '73-'74 oil crisis. You couldn't get gas at any price because the stations were CLOSED!

          When you could get gas you were Limited to 8 gallons. Don't forget cars back then had huge V8 350/396/427 engines that got 10 miles to the gallon so don't travel too far buddy.

          Everyone had to buy this new gadget called "locking gas caps" because your neighbor was siphoning the gas from your car.
          Don't forget the odd/even days, where you could only go based on your license plate number!

          And prices could change a couple times a day. One PENNY was more than 1%!

          Yeah, it WAS bad. In SOME ways it seemed worse than now. The COUNTRY and resources, were FAR better than they are now. Almost certainly on an absolute scale, but CERTAINLY on a relative one. HECK, even with precious metals we had more resources on an ABSOLUTE scale. By that, I mean we had more PERIOD, and not simply per capita.

          I keep remembering companies like quasar, RCA, magnavox, zenith, ICC, etc.... that are GONE! SOME APPEAR to still exist, but are now FOREIGN, like shell etc... The company I work at now proudly has a sign saying this is their 175th aniversary. An american company that now has workers in india and china. Will they have a 180th?

          HECK, a company apparently used to sell scales in the US! They then created a tabulation machine for the US census! That grew to computers. They went to PCs FINALLY and laptops, and sold the laptop division to CHINA!

          Steve
          {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6461226].message }}
          • Profile picture of the author Offline Doctor
            I forgot about the odd/even day, holy cow, bringing back memories.

            If I recall, gas was about 35 cents a gallon for leaded, I don't think we had unleaded yet. I remember getting 25 cents of gas for my lawn mower and it would fill about 3/4ths of my one gallon gas can, lol.

            Originally Posted by seasoned View Post

            Don't forget the odd/even days, where you could only go based on your license plate number!

            And prices could change a couple times a day. One PENNY was more than 1%!

            Yeah, it WAS bad. In SOME ways it seemed worse than now. The COUNTRY and resources, were FAR better than they are now. Almost certainly on an absolute scale, but CERTAINLY on a relative one. HECK, even with precious metals we had more resources on an ABSOLUTE scale. By that, I mean we had more PERIOD, and not simply per capita.

            I keep remembering companies like quasar, RCA, magnavox, zenith, ICC, etc.... that are GONE! SOME APPEAR to still exist, but are now FOREIGN, like shell etc... The company I work at now proudly has a sign saying this is their 175th aniversary. An american company that now has workers in india and china. Will they have a 180th?

            HECK, a company apparently used to sell scales in the US! They then created a tabulation machine for the US census! That grew to computers. They went to PCs FINALLY and laptops, and sold the laptop division to CHINA!

            Steve
            {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6466828].message }}
    • Profile picture of the author Kurt
      Originally Posted by garyv View Post

      I can remember there being a very bleak outlook for the United States when I was a young boy waiting in line to get gas with my father. But we managed to find a way to pull our selves up and had a very successful decade after that.

      One thing that I've noticed is that a lot of the economic formulas don't play out the same in countries that have a lot of natural resources. We have a lot of natural resources here in the U.S. It's much harder for our money to fail, because we have resources to continue to barter with. The reason Greece will fail a lot easier than we will, is because Greece is poor when it comes to natural resources.
      And a couple of years before than Nixon had the price and wage freeze, because inflation was so bad at the time. Can you imagine the comments free marketers would have today if that happened?
      Signature
      Discover the fastest and easiest ways to create your own valuable products.
      Tons of FREE Public Domain content you can use to make your own content, PLR, digital and POD products.
      {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6461786].message }}
      • Profile picture of the author Joe Mobley
        Interestingly, many futures traders made a lot of money when Nixon placed a freeze on some commodities. Nixon's artificial manipulation of prices didn't last long.

        Joe Mobley


        Originally Posted by Kurt View Post

        And a couple of years before than Nixon had the price and wage freeze, because inflation was so bad at the time. Can you imagine the comments free marketers would have today if that happened?
        Signature

        .

        Follow Me on Twitter: @daVinciJoe
        {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6462220].message }}
      • Profile picture of the author ThomM
        Originally Posted by Kurt View Post

        And a couple of years before than Nixon had the price and wage freeze, because inflation was so bad at the time. Can you imagine the comments free marketers would have today if that happened?
        Considering Nixon's freeze was a dismal failure, I'd say what's your point?
        Nixon Imposes Wage and Price Controls
        Signature

        Life: Nature's way of keeping meat fresh
        Getting old ain't for sissy's
        As you are I was, as I am you will be
        You can't fix stupid, but you can always out smart it.

        {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6463602].message }}
        • Profile picture of the author ThomM
          If you're going to study history, I suggest you actually study history. Rome didn't "fall". It moved east to Byzatine and enjoyed another 1000 years of being an Empire.
          And then it fell, or is it still going strong today?
          Signature

          Life: Nature's way of keeping meat fresh
          Getting old ain't for sissy's
          As you are I was, as I am you will be
          You can't fix stupid, but you can always out smart it.

          {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6463661].message }}
        • Profile picture of the author Kurt
          Originally Posted by ThomM View Post

          Considering Nixon's freeze was a dismal failure, I'd say what's your point?
          Nixon Imposes Wage and Price Controls
          My point is simple: We went through bad times before and came out of it. Whether Nixon did the right thing is irrelevant. It just shows that times were tough enough that he tried something extreme.
          Signature
          Discover the fastest and easiest ways to create your own valuable products.
          Tons of FREE Public Domain content you can use to make your own content, PLR, digital and POD products.
          {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6465306].message }}
  • Profile picture of the author rondo
    We're in for a very lean decade.
    Private, business and gov debt levels are staggering. Debt bombs are going off everywhere and won't stop any time soon.

    Even here in Australia, where our leaders keep telling us we are the economic "envy of the world", our economy will stall later this year. Budgets are being cut everywhere. Businesses are collapsing.

    Fortunately we are all in the right business (the web) so we just knuckle down and innovate, earn what we can. Things will improve but it will take a long time and probably new generation of leaders who have the balls to really address the problems.


    Andrew
    Signature
    {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6461919].message }}
  • Profile picture of the author Michael Ellis
    Hey Thom, been super busy - working and finishing my MS degree. However, I did finally get around to buying a bike! lol Been getting my time in on that too!
    {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6463692].message }}
    • Profile picture of the author ThomM
      Originally Posted by Michael Ellis View Post

      Hey Thom, been super busy - working and finishing my MS degree. However, I did finally get around to buying a bike! lol Been getting my time in on that too!
      Cool. Way to go with the MS
      What bike did you get.
      I'm still ridin my Road Star, I'll have my 7 year anniversary with my metal ass this month.
      Signature

      Life: Nature's way of keeping meat fresh
      Getting old ain't for sissy's
      As you are I was, as I am you will be
      You can't fix stupid, but you can always out smart it.

      {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6464039].message }}
      • Profile picture of the author Michael Ellis
        Originally Posted by ThomM View Post

        Cool. Way to go with the MS
        What bike did you get.
        I'm still ridin my Road Star, I'll have my 7 year anniversary with my metal ass this month.
        Well, it's been a while since I've been on a bike + I'm almost 40 now, so I figured I'd start on the smaller side and work my way back up. So, I ended up buying a Vulcan 900 Classic! You laughing?!?

        Actually, I REALLY like it. I added a fairing/windshield, high-quality saddlebags (US Saddlebags) and a few other mods. It was a great choice for me just getting back into it. It actually looks like a Harley Fatboy, minus about 600cc, lol.

        Heck, in a few years I'll upgrade to something a bit bigger but for now I'm more than happy with it.
        {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6464092].message }}
        • Profile picture of the author ThomM
          Originally Posted by Michael Ellis View Post

          Well, it's been a while since I've been on a bike + I'm almost 40 now, so I figured I'd start on the smaller side and work my way back up. So, I ended up buying a Vulcan 900 Classic! You laughing?!?

          Actually, I REALLY like it. I added a fairing/windshield, high-quality saddlebags (US Saddlebags) and a few other mods. It was a great choice for me just getting back into it. It actually looks like a Harley Fatboy, minus about 600cc, lol.

          Heck, in a few years I'll upgrade to something a bit bigger but for now I'm more than happy with it.
          Hell no I'm not laughing, that's a nice motorcycle right there (but you already know that)
          I'm looking to add a fairing, hard bags, and true dual exhaust this year but first up is a 42mm Mikuni flat-side carb. Not only will it give me a little hp boost, but they are so much easier to tune then the cvs carb I have on there now.
          Good to hear you're back on the road and good to hear from you period.
          Signature

          Life: Nature's way of keeping meat fresh
          Getting old ain't for sissy's
          As you are I was, as I am you will be
          You can't fix stupid, but you can always out smart it.

          {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6464157].message }}
  • Profile picture of the author Joe Mobley
    Signature

    .

    Follow Me on Twitter: @daVinciJoe
    {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6464611].message }}
  • Profile picture of the author TLTheLiberator
    When I talk about the recovery being early in the process...

    The U.S. economy especially for the average American has been on a slow steady decline since perhaps the early 1980's...

    ... but the bottom did not start falling out until mid 2008 and excellerated with the bank busts around Sept of 2008.

    IMHO, We are now in the recovery phase since the bottom fell out and it's been only about 4 years.

    Here's a chart to illustrate my point.

    Signature

    "It's easier to fool people than to convince them that they have been fooled. -- Mark Twain

    {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6465967].message }}
  • Profile picture of the author KimW
    Any chart that shows "unemployment rate" leaves out two very large factions.
    Those that originally were able to get unemployment but their benefits are all used up,and those that have been rejected so many times they have stopped trying. Admittedly these groupd probably do have some overlapping,but that doesn't change the fact they exist,and they are not included in charts such as this. In my personal opinion, and I am certainly not an economist,just someone that can walk the streets and look around and see the real world and what is happening in it, the depression is still very much going on. I know,the government called it a recession,but when was the last time they told the truth?
    Signature

    Read A Post.
    Subscribe to a Newsletter
    KimWinfrey.Com

    {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6466043].message }}
  • Profile picture of the author TLTheLiberator
    The reason I displayed the chart was to show the job loses not the unemployment rate which can be jimmied.

    The job loses are the most important part of the chart and they are hard numbers that come from the BLS and show the bottom falling out of the U.S. economy starting around mid 2008.

    In Jan 09 the nation lost over 800k jobs.


    TL
    Signature

    "It's easier to fool people than to convince them that they have been fooled. -- Mark Twain

    {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6466077].message }}
  • Profile picture of the author KimW
    I can agree with that.
    Signature

    Read A Post.
    Subscribe to a Newsletter
    KimWinfrey.Com

    {{ DiscussionBoard.errors[6466159].message }}

Trending Topics