2014 Grammy winners here...

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According to polling firm CivicScience, here are the Grammy winners for this Sunday. The firm was 80 percent right for last year's Oscars:

Best New Artist: Macklemore & Ryan Lewis
Best Pop Duo/Group Performance: "Blurred Lines"
Best Rap Album: Macklemore & Ryan Lewis
Best Rock Album: Kings Of Leon
Best Country Album: Taylor Swift
Song of the Year: "Royals"
Record of the Year: "Royals"
Album of the Year: Macklemore & Ryan Lewis

via Bob Lefsetz at the Lefsetz Letter:

Mr. Lefsetz explains how they do the polling:

"...Mr. Dick explained his methodology.

He trolls for people on PerezHilton. He gets them to answer the question of the day, and then places a cookie on their computer, tracking them as they move about the web. Sounds scary, doesn’t it? Welcome to the twenty first century!

But what Mr. Dick and his team of Carnegie Mellon technicians is looking for is…the ability of those he tracks to get it right. That’s the science. And last year he predicted five out of the six big Grammy winners. He was eighty percent at the Oscars. And before Nate Silver and the 2012 election, I’d pooh-pooh Mr. Dick and his numbers, but the geeks have inherited the earth and gut reactions might feel good, but can be totally wrong."


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